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Goldman Sachs says Paytm’s current share price is a compelling entry point, ICICI Securities issue Buy rating

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3 years ago

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Paytm continues to get the confidence of top brokerages, who are bullish about the companys “immense growth potential”. Goldman Sachs pointed out the strong growth potential for Paytms lending business, saying the firm will hit $10 billion in disbursals by FY26E, vs $900 million in FY22.

Analysts believe Paytm’s ESOP costs will gradually reduce and are currently at par with other listed tech cos in India as well as globally ICICI Securities report said that by FY26, Paytm’s monthly transacting users are likely to double

Paytm, India’s leading digital payments and financial services, continues to get ‘Buy’ calls from top brokerages. After Goldman Sachs, BofA, Morgan Stanley and Dolat Capital, ICICI Securities has also issued a Buy rating for Paytm.

Goldman Sachs had given Paytm a Buy rating, with a target price of Rs 460 on February 7. On Monday, the investment bank reiterated its Buy rating, pointing out key notes for investors. The report said that “the current share price offers a compelling entry point into India’s largest and amongst the fastest growing fintech platforms”.

ICICI Securities has now initiated coverage for Paytm and highlighted the company’s strong growth potential in terms of target addressable market (TAM), giving a “Buy’ rating and target price of Rs 1,362.

Goldman Sachs highlighted that Paytm continues to gain market share across both UPI and non-UPI payments, besides strong growth in lending business. It said Paytm’s net payments take rate or spreads have, defined as revenue less payment processing charges (PPC) as a proportion of Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) have been improving.

“Paytm’s net payments take rate (or spreads, defined as revenue less payment processing charges as a proportion of GMV) have been improving. From 8 bps in 3QFY22, we forecast spreads to widen to 11 bps by FY26E as a result of Paytm’s scale benefits; increasing share of UPI for wallet money addition; rising share of wallet for online payments (vs in-store, which have zero MDR); and rising share of device rental revenues,” the brokerage noted.

Paytm’s ESOP costs to gradually reduce, currently at par with other listed tech cos in India as well as globally.

Goldman Sachs noted that Paytm’s Employee Stock Ownership Plan (ESOP) costs will reduce gradually and is currently at par with other listed tech companies in India as well as globally.

“We forecast ESOP charge for Paytm to be highest (at Rs 3.9 billion per quarter) for first two years (when the first tranche vests, per Paytm), and then gradually reduce over the next three years. Paytm also has about 15 million un-granted options and per our estimate, the total share count could increase by 46 million (or 7 per cent of current outstanding), if all options were to be vested/granted,” said the Goldman Sachs note.

“We note that as a proportion of total operating expenses, Paytm’s ESOP cost is not significantly different vs other global platforms such as Airbnb and DoorDash, as well as recently listed India internet peers such as Zomato and PB Fintech.”

Meanwhile, ICICI Securities in its note called out Paytm’s immense growth potential in terms of target addressable market (TAM), buoyed by its leadership position in India’s digital payments ecosystem.

The brokerage said Paytm’s digital payments business has the potential to grow strongly in future, reflecting its “sizeable two-sided digital ecosystem with proven leadership in payments”.

“Paytm is well ahead in the race of digitisation, building a robust full stack technology suite integrated across the ecosystem with distinct features, high success rates, easy user interface, and customer convenience. It has an early mover advantage in rolling out wallet, FASTag, and is ahead of the curve in (skill based) online gaming, too,” said the note by ICICI Securities.

During the October-December quarter, the company saw its revenues jump by 89 per cent y-o-y to Rs 1,456 crore, EBITDA losses (before ESOP expense) came down to Rs 393 crore from Rs 488 crore during the same quarter in the previous year.

In its latest filing with the stock exchange, Paytm had shared its highest ever growth in monthly transacting users to 68.9 million users. Now, it seems analysts are bullish about this growth momentum to continue. ICICI Securities highlighted that Paytm’s monthly transacting user base (MTUs) is likely to double over FY22-26E to more than 120 million.

Paytm had said that in Q3 FY 22, its merchant payments-led GMV stood at Rs 2.5 lakh crore. Analysts at ICICI Securities forecast that Paytm’s merchant GMV would grow at 36 per cent CAGR over FY22-26E to reach Rs 30 trillion and within this, MDR linked GMV is estimated to grow at more than 25 per cent.

The brokerage noted that Paytm’s contribution margin has potential to further improve 40 per cent-46 per cent by FY24E/FY26E.

“Aided by this contribution margin, there is some visibility of EBITDA getting into positive territory post FY26E. Adjusted EBITDA margin (excluding non-cash ESOP charges) will turn positive by FY26,” it added.

Both Goldman Sachs and ICICI Securities believe that Paytm’s lending business, in which it partners financial institutions to provide loans on its platform, has the potential to grow rapidly in the medium term.

Goldman Sachs said: “We believe Paytm will be able to continue to scale its lending portfolio, and forecast $10 billion in disbursals by FY26E, vs $900 million in FY22. Paytm has continued to add new partners for its lending products over the last few quarters, suggesting to us that lenders are finding value in this partnership.”

Paytm’s lending business witnessed record growth in January 2022, maintaining the positive trend witnessed in the Q3 FY 22 earnings. Last month, Paytm registered 1.9 million loan disbursals, marking a y-o-y growth of 331 per cent; aggregating to a total value of Rs 921 crore (y-o-y growth of 334%). This also included a staggering growth in its Buy Now, Pay Later product – Paytm Postpaid.

“For Paytm’s BNPL product, 30 per cent + of the monthly sign-ups (Dec ’21 quarter) were new-to-credit customers, helping expand the credit base for Paytm’s financial partners. Per Paytm, performance of the company’s loan portfolio has resulted in higher confidence from lenders to increase the scale of this business,” it added.

Meanwhile, ICICI Securities also shared an optimistic outlook about Paytm’s lending business, estimating 18-19 million consumers (15 per cent of MTUs), and an increasing number of merchants to avail lending products through Paytm platform by FY26E.

Sharing a medium-term outlook, it estimated the total lending business revenue to grow at 61 per cent over FY22-26E.

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New TVS Apache RR 310 Hits Indian Market at Rs 2.75 Lakh: All You Need to Know

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3 days ago

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September 17, 2024

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TVS has introduced the 2024 edition of its flagship Apache RR 310 in India, starting at Rs 2.75 lakh (ex-showroom). The updated model brings several enhancements, including segment-first aerodynamic winglets integrated into the side fairing, aimed at improving stability and performance.

The latest version of the TVS Apache RR 310 comes with a starting price of Rs 2.75 lakh (ex-showroom) for the Racing Red model. However, this variant does not include the bi-directional quick-shifter. For those looking to add this feature, it will cost approximately Rs 17,000 extra. The 2024 lineup also introduces a new Bomber Grey color option, priced at Rs 2.97 lakh (ex-showroom), offering a stylish and performance-focused upgrade.

The 2024 TVS Apache RR 310 retains its 312cc single-cylinder, liquid-cooled engine with a 6-speed gearbox, but now offers improved performance. The updated model produces 37 bhp at 9,800 rpm and 29 Nm of torque at 7,900 rpm. TVS also claims that it accelerates faster than before, shaving 0.43 seconds off its 0-100 km/h time, making it a more exciting choice for riders looking for speed and agility.

The 2024 TVS Apache RR 310 keeps its familiar trellis frame, supported by upside-down front forks and a rear monoshock for improved handling. Braking is handled by disc brakes. It also comes with a 5-inch TFT display that offers Bluetooth connectivity and navigation.

The updated electronics package includes new features like tyre pressure monitoring, cornering ABS, traction control, and cruise control. While the overall design remains similar, it gets refreshed decals and is available in three colours: Bomber Grey, Racing Red, and Race Replica.

TVS has introduced two performance kits for the new Apache RR 310: the Dynamic kit, priced at Rs 18,000, and the Dynamic Pro kit at Rs 16,000. The Dynamic kit enhances the bike’s handling with fully adjustable suspension, a tyre pressure monitoring system, and a brass-coated drive chain. The Dynamic Pro kit, meanwhile, focuses on safety and stability, offering race-tuned dynamic stability control for better on-road performance. These upgrades allow riders to customize their experience for both performance and safety.

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Business

Jio network down: users are facing problems

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3 days ago

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September 17, 2024

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Some Jio users in Mumbai are experiencing network outages, causing the issue to trend on Twitter. According to reports on social media, the disruptions have affected specific areas in the city. One user claimed that the Reliance Jio IDC Data Centre caught fire, potentially causing service interruptions. The user tweeted, “Reliance Jio IDC Data Centre caught fire, some services down due to that.

The network of Reliance Jio, one of the leading telecom companies in India, has been down for the last 1 hour. So users are facing a lot of problems. Many have posted about this on social media and tagged Reliance Jio. Reliance Jio network is down since last 1 hour.

Due to this, many works of Jio users have been stopped. A user posted on X and informed that the Jio service has been shut down due to a fire in the IDC (data center). Repair work is going on here. The network will be restored soon. But Reliance Jio has not given any official information about this yet. Therefore, users are asking when the network will be restored.

Reliance Jio service has been discontinued. Most of the users have no signal in their mobiles. 20 percent reported internet connectivity disruption on Down detector. 14 percent people are facing problems in running Jio fiber. Reliance Jio’s website is also not working properly and users are unable to access the Jio app.

There are more than 10 thousand complaints on Downdetector around 12 noon. More outage issues have been reported from cities like Delhi, Lucknow and Mumbai. Users across the country are complaining about Jio service being down. Jio on X is also trending down. People are sharing memes for Jio.

Reliance Jio services have once again been suspended in many parts of the country. Today i.e. on 17th September it started from Mumbai, the financial capital of the country and now Jio is down in all the cities of the country. Earlier in May and June 2024 also, Jio services were suspended in Mumbai. Users are constantly complaining on social media about Jio being down but there is no concrete solution and assurance from the company yet.

Users on social media claim that Jio services have been suspended across Mumbai. There is a network problem for several hours. Many users have also complained about the broadband service. Outage tracker Downdetector has also confirmed Jio’s outage. According to Downdetector’s map, it has stopped in New Delhi, Lucknow, Nagpur, Cuttack, Hyderabad, Chennai, Patna, Ahmedabad, Kolkata, Guwahati.

More than 10 thousand people have complained on Downdetector in just 1 hour. On this site, 67 percent people complained about lack of signal, 20 percent about mobile internet and 14 percent about Jio Fiber.

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Business

‘Take A Trip To Vietnam For Your iPhone 16’: X User Proposes Cost-Effective Way To Buy The Latest Apple Smartphone

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1 week ago

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September 10, 2024

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Apple recently launched its latest iPhone series, the iPhone 16 series. In addition, the company also launched the latest Apple Watch along with the latest version of Apple AirPods.

Trip To Vietnam For Apple

Apple products from time immemorial have been known for their exorbitant and sky-high pricing. Many have often made memes about having to sell their organs to be able to afford one of their iPhones.

Now, with the latest launch, and X user has found a way to cut corners by taking a trip.

According to the user, an aspiring iPhone buyer in India should take a trip to the East Asian nation of Vietnam to be able to get the new iPhone 16 at a cheaper rate.

However, the user also notes that these savings can only be made, if the buyer is intending to buy the advanced iPhone 16 Pro iPhone 16 Pro Max.

Savings Only iPhone 16 Pro

The user said, “Plan your #iPhone16 purchase with a trip to #Vietnam and spend the same amount you would be spending buying it here in India.”

In addition, the user also added, “But the savings work only if you are planning to buy the #iPhone16Pro or the #iPhone16ProMax”.

In addition, the user also surmised an instance of users travelling to the UAE an purchasing these phones.

According to the user, the Visa fees & fight rates don’t make Dubai that lucrative unless flying somewhere via UAE or planning for the #iPhone16ProMax only”.

As per the statistics produced by the user, the most expensive iPhone 16 Pro Max will cost an Indian buyer Rs 1,44,900 a piece. In Vietnam, however, it would cost a buyer Rs 1,18,992.

This marks a difference of Rs 25,908. Meanwhile, in the UAE, particularly in Dubai, the same phone would cost the buyer Rs 1,16,550, marking a difference of Rs 28,350.

The iPhone series will be available in India from September 20, with the pre-order for the phone starting on September 13.

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