Business
What’s likely to be unveiled by the Railway Budget
The Rail Budget this year will focus on making long-distance travel comfortable, densening the railway network in the poll-bound states and enhancing the connectivity in metro cities as well as the Northeast region.
Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman will present her fourth Budget on Tuesday (February 1).
This will be the sixth joint Budget after the merger of the Rail Budget with the Union Budget in 2017.
As per information, it is expected that the Centre will increase the Rail budget by 15 to 20 per cent this year.
With the Assembly elections in five states round the corner, the Centre can announce new railway facilities for the common passengers.
Although the Railways incurred a loss of Rs 26,338 crore in the last one year, this time the Rail Budget is expected to be enhanced to around Rs 2.5 lakh crore.
Last year, the Centre allocated a record budget of Rs 1,10,055 crore for the Railways.
The Centre can also propose the electrification of a record 7,000 km of railway track this time as part of its efforts to achieve complete electrification of broad-gauge railway lines by the end of 2023.
The lower and the middle class pay special attention to the Rail Budget as they share a deep connection with the railways, which is considered as the lifeline of the country. There is also a possibility of the announcement of high-speed trains in the Budget.
Plans are being made to strengthen the rail connectivity in the poll-bound states and metro cities. For this, the government can involve some private partners.
A bullet train between New Delhi and Varanasi can also be announced in the Budget. Significantly, the work of the first bullet train between Ahmedabad and Mumbai is already underway.
Similarly, announcement of a bullet train on the Delhi-Howrah route is also expected in the Budget.
Announcements regarding semi-high speed trains on the Golden Quadrilateral route, expansion of Vande Bharat Express and new dedicated freight corridors are also expected.
As per the sources, the special focus in the Rail Budget will be on the Golden Quadrilateral Routes, on which the government can announce to run semi-high speed trains having a speed of 180 to 200 kmph. These trains will be like the Vande Bharat Express.
The replacement of the old ICF coaches in all trains and installation of new LHB coaches, is another major announcement to be expected in the Budget.
About ten new light trains (aluminium ones), which are energy efficient, can be announced for long distance journeys. Similarly, a proposal to make 6,500 aluminium coaches, 1,240 locomotives and about 35,000 wagons can be proposed in the Budget.
Railways is also manufacturing several special trains replacing the traditional IPS coaches with the LHB coaches made of German technology. Also the coaches for a new ‘Deccan Queen’ are being manufactured at the Integral Coach Factory in Chennai.
For this new ‘Deccan Queen’, two specially designed coaches for guards, five AC chair car coaches, 12 non-AC chair car coaches and one pantry cum dining coach have been made. This train will have 20 coaches and each one will have its own specialty. On the same lines, other trains are also expected to be announced in the Budget.
In the Rail Budget, the Centre will also be focusing on the expansion of the rail network in the Northeast region.
In the last Budget also, the Finance Minister had announced plans to build new DFC corridors for routes like East Coast, East-West and North-South. Just before the Manipur elections, for the first time since Independence, a goods train reached Rani Gaidinliu railway station in Tamenglong district of Manipur.
Railway Minister Ashwini Vaishnaw has recently taken stock of the Jiribam-Imphal new line project in Manipur through an aerial survey. The project includes the longest tunnel in the country, which will connect Guwahati and Imphal. Vaishnaw had said that Rs 7,000 crore has been allocated this year for various rail projects in the Northeast.
Business
Pakistan, Bangladesh face mounting economic risks as prolonged US-Iran conflict fuels oil price surge

New Delhi, Aug 2: Pakistan and Bangladesh are among the Asian economies most exposed to the fallout from the prolonged US-Iran conflict, as surging global oil prices threaten to push up inflation, strain public finances and intensify pressure on already fragile economies, according to economists and research firms.
Both countries depend heavily on imported fuel, making them particularly vulnerable to sustained increases in crude oil and diesel prices, according to a report by South China Morning Post.
Analysts warn that limited fuel inventories and weak economic buffers could allow higher global energy costs to feed quickly into domestic prices, raising the cost of transport, electricity and food for millions of households, the report said.
Jamus Lim, Associate Professor of Economics at ESSEC Business School Asia-Pacific cited by the report, said Pakistan and Bangladesh are likely to face significant inflationary pressures in the near term.
He noted that limited inventory buffers mean the impact of higher oil prices would be transmitted relatively quickly through their economies.
Oil markets have already reflected growing concerns over the conflict. Brent crude has climbed sharply over the past month, while US benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) has recorded similar gains.
Diesel and other refined fuel products have also posted double-digit increases, adding to concerns over rising energy costs worldwide.
The risks have extended beyond the Gulf region after a drone strike targeted gas vessels at Egypt’s Mediterranean port of Damietta, heightening concerns over shipping routes linked to the Suez Canal, one of the key pathways for Saudi oil exports.
For Pakistan and Bangladesh, another energy-price shock could place renewed pressure on currencies, fiscal balances and government subsidy programmes.
Both countries are implementing International Monetary Fund (IMF)-supported economic reform programmes that emphasise fiscal discipline, limiting their ability to cushion consumers from higher fuel prices through subsidies.
The conflict, now in its fifth month, has added to uncertainty after US President Donald Trump weighed further military action following Iranian attacks on American military assets in Jordan, Kuwait and Bahrain.
Oxford Economics has warned that several emerging markets, including Pakistan, Egypt, Mozambique, Nigeria and Kenya, face a combination of geopolitical risks, political uncertainty and rising debt-servicing costs.
According to the research firm, countries such as Pakistan, Mozambique, Kenya, Ghana and Tunisia, which have relatively thin foreign exchange reserve buffers, could experience the sharpest deterioration if the conflict intensifies.
Business
West Bengal’s tea, fisheries and handicrafts sectors to gain from 9 landmark FTAs: Piyush Goyal

New Delhi, Aug 2: Union Commerce and Industry Minister Piyush Goyal on Sunday said that West Bengal is set to benefit significantly from the nine landmark Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) concluded under the leadership of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, with enhanced market access expected to boost the state’s exports and economic growth.
In a post on social media platform X, the minister said the FTAs would provide greater opportunities for tea growers, fisherfolk, artisans engaged in traditional handicrafts, as well as the state’s youth and women.
“West Bengal stands to gain significantly from the 9 landmark Free Trade Agreements concluded under PM Narendra Modi,” the Union Minister mentioned.
“Enhanced market access will benefit tea growers, fisherfolk, artisans engaged in traditional handicrafts, and the state’s youth and women,” Goyal added.
According to Goyal, improved access to international markets will help increase production, expand exports and create sustainable livelihood opportunities across multiple sectors in West Bengal.
He said the benefits arising from the trade agreements would contribute to strengthening the state’s economy while advancing the vision of a Viksit Bharat, or developed India.
“This will drive higher production, boost exports, and generate sustainable livelihoods, furthering the vision of Viksit Bharat,” the minister explained.
Meanwhile, earlier this year, a State government insider said that at least 42 industrialists have contacted State Commerce and Industries Minister Tapas Roy, expressing their desire to invest in West Bengal.
According to the official, the minister has assured them of cooperation in this regard. The insider added that several announcements regarding investment in the industrial sector may be made during the current budget session of the State Assembly.
After coming to power, the Suvendu Adhikari government said there would be development in the State’s industrial sector, and that he himself would intervene in this regard.
After the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) first came to power in West Bengal, the Centre asked NITI Aayog to prepare a long-term blueprint to revive West Bengal’s industry and economy.
That work has already started under the leadership of NITI Aayog Vice-Chairman Ashok Kumar Lahiri.
Business
RBI policy, Q1 earnings and global cues likely to drive Dalal Street after strong weekly rebound

Mumbai, Aug 2: Indian equity markets will enter the new trading week with investors closely tracking the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) monetary policy decision, a fresh round of June quarter earnings, global geopolitical developments, crude oil prices and foreign institutional investor (FII) flows after benchmark indices staged a strong recovery in the previous week.
The market snapped its recent losing streak as easing crude oil prices, improving geopolitical sentiment, strong corporate earnings for the April-June quarter and renewed buying by foreign institutional investors lifted investor confidence.
The decline in crude oil prices from recent highs helped ease concerns over imported inflation, pressure on corporate margins and India’s external account, providing support to equities.
The Nifty advanced 2.59 per cent during the week to close at 24,383.60, while the Sensex gained 2.68 per cent to settle at 78,094.64. Both benchmark indices also recorded their second consecutive monthly gain in July.
Commenting on Nifty technical outlook, experts said that a decisive close above the 24,500–24,600 zone could extend the rally towards 25,200.
“On the downside, 24,100 is expected to provide immediate support, followed by a stronger support zone in the 23,600–23,800 range,” an analyst stated.
The RBI’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting will be the key domestic event this week. The three-day meeting will begin on August 3, with the policy decision and RBI Governor’s statement scheduled for August 5.
Investors will closely monitor the central bank’s commentary on inflation, economic growth and the future interest rate trajectory for cues on market direction.
Corporate earnings will remain another major driver as several heavyweight companies are set to announce their financial results for the first quarter of FY27.
Global developments will also remain on investors’ radar amid persistent tensions in the Middle East. US President Donald Trump warned of additional strikes on Iran as Washington stepped up efforts to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
Crude oil prices will continue to be closely monitored after ending Friday more than $1 per barrel higher and registering their strongest monthly gains since March amid concerns over global supply disruptions following reports that some oil tankers had reversed course in the Strait of Hormuz.
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