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Pandemic to populist schemes: K’taka in fiscal soup

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Karnataka, which has vibrant automobile, agro, IT, aerospace, textile, biotech and heavy engineering industries, is showing a worrying trend due to impact of pandemic and natural calamities.

Despite being the cradle of startups and known as Silicon Valley of India, Karnataka took a huge hit on the financial resources from 2020-21 till date. The state’s public debt rose to 31.38 per cent between 2019-20 and 2020-21, creating a precarious financial situation.

The result of the pandemic has been such that, according to the 2020-21 finance and appropriation accounts report published by the Comptroller and Auditor General (CAG), the government recorded a drop of Rs 14,535 crore in tax collection.

The total debt of the state went up from Rs 3.19 lakh crore to Rs 3.97 lakh crore, an increase of Rs 78,000 crore, forcing the government to put some ambitious and populist programmes in abeyance.

Losses incurred in SGST, state excise duty, sales tax, stamps and registration and vehicle taxes. However, the non-tax revenue increased marginally from Rs 7,681 crore to Rs 7,894 crore.

According to Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation, the growth of GSDP has decreased by 9.28 per cent in 2019-20 and 2.23 per cent in 202-21 from 10.71 per cent in 2017-18 and 11.50 per cent in 2018-19.

The government had to deal with a severe drought situation when it assumed power in 2019, and then adding more woes, half of the state was affected by flood fury. Later, the Covid pandemic further complicated the financial situation of the state. During the tenure of Chief Minister B.S. Yediyurappa, no major populist programmes could be doled out. Presently, his successor Chief Minister Basavaraj Bommai has a tough job in hand as he is to present an election year budget on March 4.

The CAG report also shows that the government had to increase its borrowings. Effectively, the resultant impact has pushed the interest component to Rs 22,666 crore or 14.6 per cent of the state’s revenue receipts which is placed at Rs 1.56 lakh crore. The CAG has also noted that 13 projects of irrigation, 41 of roads, three of bridges and one in others category remained incomplete for over five years.

Ashwathnarayan, state BJP General Secretary, told IANS that as political parties are in the race to woo voters with social welfare schemes and freebies on the lines of Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh, CM Bommai is inclined towards middle class and the upcoming budget is not going to be a fancy budget.

When asked whether the BJP is not under pressure after Delhi Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal delivered free essential services to people, he said that Delhi is a mini state, it does not include farmers, mass transport system, irrigation projects, law and order system and even medical education. It is more like a municipal corporation area. Free electricity, free water and other populist programmes are not practically feasible in a large state like Karnataka.

Basavaraj Tonagatti, SEBI RIA, Fee-Only Financial Planner, CFP and Finance Blogger, told IANS that If you look at last year’s budget, you can notice that debt servicing increased to 21 per cent from 2019-20 to 2020-21. However, the capital expenditure increased just by around 5 per cent. This shows that the government is borrowing more but not diverting the same towards capital expenditure. It also shows that the government is not spending on creating assets, in particular physical infrastructure like roads, railway lines, factories, ports, etc. “Hence, I hope this year they manage their debt and divert the spending towards capital expenditure,” he said.

Though government is saying everything is fine, private investment has been going down for a long time, consumption is down, unemployment is high.

Abdul Azeez, Honorary visiting Professor of Institute for Social and Economic Change (ISAC), Bengaluru said that the pandemic has decelerated economic growth, increased unemployment and strengthened inflationary pressures, as a result of which the programmes of social justice have taken a hit.

The focus is to encourage consumption. If consumption increases, inflationary pressure will remain high. Already retail inflation has gone up to 6 per cent and wholesale by 11 per cent, he said. The government should think of providing necessary assistance to producers and they should be ensured of supply of electricity and water, he added.

Pavan Srinath, Independent Policy Researcher, said, “we need a growth oriented budget. We need to spend more. In the central budget also, capital expenditure has been increased. There is rural distress, high unemployment, the government should use its capacity to spend more.”

During the Congress regime, when Siddaramaiah was at the helm, he rained sops and freebies on people through bhagya schemes. The freebie blitzkrieg was so much that raised a debate whether these freebies are making people lazy.

Kannada writer S.L. Bhyrappa and Jnanpith recipient Chandrashekar Kambar came down heavily on Siddaramaiah government on Annabhagya scheme. Bhyrappa said, it is not possible to make poor people self-reliant through schemes like Anna Bhagya. The trend is very dangerous.

Chandrashekar Kambar maintained that freebies have made a deep impact on labour attitudes and the farming sector. When you take care of almost all the basic needs of the people — be it food, clothing, shelter, healthcare, children’s education, there is little motivation for work hard. Instead, the government should enable poor people to lead a dignified life, he said.

Rubbishing the criticism, Siddaramaiah said he will continue to implement schemes to bring poor people into the mainstream. Only hungry people will understand what is hunger. However, he suffered defeat in the following general elections.

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HM Shah lays foundation stone for 1,655 industrial units ensuring Rs 2 lakh crore investment in MP

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Gwalior, Dec 25: Union Home and Cooperation Minister Amit Shah delivered an inspiring address at the ‘Abhyudaya Madhya Pradesh Growth Summit’ here on Thursday, marking the 101st birth anniversary of former Prime Minister and Bharat Ratna recipient Atal Bihari Vajpayee.

Speaking on the theme ‘Investment to Employment – Atal’s Resolve, a Bright Madhya Pradesh’, HM Shah hailed the state’s rapid transformation under the double-engine government, declaring that Madhya Pradesh is emerging as the growth engine of ‘Viksit Bharat’.

HM Shah lavished praise on Chief Minister Mohan Yadav for pioneering initiatives aimed at balanced regional development across the state.

He highlighted CM Yadav’s innovative approach of organising regional investment promotion events and ground-breaking ceremonies in every division, ensuring equitable growth and unlocking the untapped potential of all areas.

“Chief Minister Mohan Yadav has taken thoughtful steps to establish a strong foundation for all-round development through his regional investment committees,” he said, adding that these efforts surpass even the energetic pace set by previous long-serving BJP Chief Minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan.

The Home Minister emphasised the critical importance of symmetrical industrial establishment to leverage Madhya Pradesh’s strategic geographical location.

He pointed to the traditional strength of cotton production in the Malwa and Gwalior-Chambal regions, noting that declining farmer incomes due to unfair prices could be reversed by setting up processing and allied industries locally. This would minimise transportation costs, make cotton farming profitable again, and connect seamlessly to markets in Delhi, western states, and nearby districts.

HM Shah described the day’s massive investment push – with foundation stones laid for 1,655 industrial units worth over Rs 2 lakh crore, expected to create 193,000 jobs – as a fitting tribute to former Prime Minister Vajpayee’s vision of good governance and national progress.

Held in Vajpayee’s birthplace, the summit, he said, embodied the late leader’s ideology of self-reliance, development, and inclusive growth, giving it a grand resonance on this auspicious occasion.

HM Shah expressed hope for continued central support, promising that true welfare stems from aligning with Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s vision for a prosperous India. The event, attended by prominent industrialists and cabinet ministers, reinforced Madhya Pradesh’s commitment to converting investments into widespread employment and regional prosperity.

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Gautam Adani hails war heroes, workers, farmers, and specially-abled as NMIA commences operations

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Mumbai, Dec 25: Gautam Adani, Chairman of the Adani Group, hailed war heroes, farmers, and the specially abled as the Navi Mumbai International Airport (NMIA) — India’s newest Greenfield airport — welcomed its first passengers on Thursday.

The airport, inaugurated by Prime Minister Narendra Modi on October 8, began its operations on the day of Christmas.

Welcoming the first passengers, the Adani Group Chairman saluted the soldiers who protect the nation, workers who built the airport for their “unbreakable spirit”, farmers who feed the country, and the specially abled who inspire the nation.

“It was a deeply moving moment to stand beside Param Vir Chakra awardees Captain Bana Singh and Subedar Major Sanjay Kumar as the Navi Mumbai International Airport (NMIA) welcomed its very first passengers,” said Gautam Adani, in a post on social media platform X.

“In that moment, alongside the war heroes, stood the other quiet architects of the nation — the workers who built this airport with their bare hands and unbreakable spirit; the farmers and their families who feed India; the social workers who selflessly serve millions alongside the @AdaniFoundation; and our specially abled colleagues who inspire us every single day. For many of them, this was the first flight of their lives,” the Adani Group Chairman added.

“Soldiers who protect Bharat. Workers who build Bharat. Farmers who sustain Bharat. Social workers who serve Bharat. The specially abled who inspire Bharat,” the industrialist said.

Gautam Adani stated that NMIA showcases an opportunity for the country to move forward without leaving anyone behind.

“@AdaniPriti and I were deeply honoured to stand with them at NMIA – a moment that captured what this airport truly represents – opportunity with dignity, and a rising India that moves forward without leaving anyone behind,” the Adani Group Chairman said.

“Their blessings, their courage, and their resilience drive us every single day to build bigger, serve better, and work harder in service of the nation. Jai Hind,” the businessman added.

NMIA is a public-private partnership (PPP) between Mumbai International Airport Limited (MIAL), a subsidiary of Adani Airports Holdings Limited (AAHL), which holds the majority stake of 74 per cent, while the City and Industrial Development Corporation of Maharashtra Limited (CIDCO) hold the remaining 26 per cent.

In the first month, NMIA will operate for 12 hours — between 08:00 hours and 20:00 hours — handling 23 scheduled daily departures.

During the initial launch period, passengers will benefit from services operated by IndiGo, Air India Express, and Akasa Air, connecting Mumbai to 16 major domestic destinations.

Starting February 2026, the airport will transition to round-the-clock operations, expanding to 34 daily departures to meet the increasing needs of the MMR.

NMIA is also conducting comprehensive Operational Readiness and Airport Transfer (ORAT) trials in collaboration with all stakeholders, including security agencies and airline partners.

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Gold and silver bring cheers for investors, 2026 outlook remains strong

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Mumbai, Dec 25: In a year marked by heightened global uncertainty, precious metals delivered exceptional returns for investors, with silver emerging as a surprise winner.

Silver prices surged by more than 137 per cent — outperforming gold — which also posted a strong gain of around 68 per cent this year.

With equity markets facing volatility, both metals strengthened their position as preferred safe investment options, but silver clearly outshone all traditional choices.

Gold’s strong performance was supported by geopolitical tensions, inflation concerns, and expectations of interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve.

A major driving force behind gold’s rally was steady buying by global central banks. For three consecutive years — 2022, 2023 and 2024 — central banks have purchased more than 1,000 tonnes of gold each year.

Alongside this, global investors continued to invest through gold ETFs, using them as a safe place to park funds.

Big global banks have turned increasingly bullish on gold’s outlook. Goldman Sachs has raised its 2026 year-end gold price target to $4,900 per ounce, citing strong central bank demand and ETF inflows.

Deutsche Bank has also upgraded its outlook, projecting gold prices at $4,450 per ounce in 2026.

Silver’s rally, however, has been driven by more than just safe-haven demand. Strong industrial usage has played a crucial role.

Growing demand from sectors such as solar power, electric vehicles, and electronics has significantly increased silver consumption.

At the same time, supply constraints have tightened the market, pushing prices sharply higher.

This dual role — as a precious metal and an industrial input — has helped silver deliver more than double the returns of gold in 2025.

Looking ahead, experts believe the positive momentum in silver could continue into 2026.

Market specialists say that strong industrial demand, limited supply, and supportive global trends could help silver rise by another 15 to 20 per cent next year.

Some analysts expect that in the first half of 2026 alone, silver may generate an additional 20 to 25 per cent return from current levels, though they advise investors to invest gradually, especially if prices see short-term corrections.

Gold’s outlook also remains positive for 2026. Continued central bank buying, possible US rate cuts, and ongoing geopolitical risks are expected to support prices.

Analysts suggest that keeping an eye on central bank activity — whether they continue buying, hold their reserves, or start selling — will be critical, as their actions often signal future price trends well in advance.

“With uncertainty still dominating the global economic landscape, precious metals are likely to continue playing an important role in investor portfolios, offering a mix of safety and growth potential,” experts stated.

Meanwhile, both metal’s prices climbed to new record highs on the MCX on Wednesday morning, helped by a weak US dollar and expectations that the US Federal Reserve may cut interest rates further.

Gold futures for February rose 0.42 per cent to touch an all-time high of Rs 1,38,469 per 10 grams. Silver futures for March jumped nearly 2 per cent to hit a fresh record of Rs 2,23,742 per kg.

In the global market, gold prices crossed the $4,500 per ounce level for the first time. The rise was driven by strong demand for safe-haven assets as investors expect more interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve next year.

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