Business
If softening of inflation continues further, then it would eventually lead Fed to taper its aggression: Sneha Poddar

Sneha Poddar, AVP Research, Broking & Distribution, Motilal Oswal Financial Services, said if the softening of inflation continues further, then it would eventually lead to the US Federal Reserve to taper its aggression. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is more likely to follow the US Fed and thus would not taper its tone till its is adopted by the latter.
Here are excerpts from the interview:
Q. Do you think after US CPI inflation print which came below estimates will allow Fed to go slow on rate hike, and RBI will follow the same?
A: The US CPI inflation data for the month of July came in at 8.5 per cent, down from 9.1 per cent in June and slightly below expectation of 8.7 per cent. However the Fed officials have responded to softening inflation data by saying it doesn’t change their stance towards higher interest rates, as the inflation still remains above the unacceptable levels. Since this is just first sign of inflation peaking out, and is too early to rule out subsequent high inflation data, uncertainty will loom over when the US Fed would slow down on its aggressive rate hikes. If the softening of inflation continues further, then it would eventually lead Fed to taper its aggression. The RBI is more likely to follow US Fed and thus would not taper its tone till its is adopted by US Fed.
Q. 5.40 per cent repo rate is already above pre-pandemic level, but still the RBI maintains “withdrawal of accomodation” stance. Do you think the neutral level of the repo rate is at or above 6 per cent?
A: The RBI has cumulatively hiked the policy repo rate by 140bp to 5.4 per cent in FY23 till date. It reiterated its continued focus on “withdrawal of accommodation” to contain inflation while supporting growth. However, it kept its inflation/growth forecasts unchanged at 6.7 per cent/7.2 per cent YoY, respectively, for FY23. This seems very confusing as how can the rate hikes help contain inflation without hurting growth? Further, the MPC did not sound dovish at all. There was neither a change in stance nor a relief in the RBI Governor’s statement disclaiming a possible pause in rate hikes. Thus we believe that the terminal rate in this hike cycle might be at 5.75-6.0 per cent
Q. In the current market conditions, which sectors are likely to perform well from an investor returns point-of-view?
A: We believe BFSI can do well in rising interest rate scenario. On the other hand with good monsoon, upcoming festive season and softening of commodity prices, the demand both urban and rural are expected to revive and pick up and thus we are positive on Consumer, Auto and Retail. With the opening up of economy and the structural shift being witnessed in favour of the industry post Covid, QSR remains in a sweet spot. While uncertainty around quantum of interest rate hikes is likely to impact the performance of real estate stocks in the near term, longer-term thesis on revival of housing cycle remains intact. There is imminent opportunity in the domestic Hospitality industry and the expected upcycle bodes well for the sector. We are selectively looking at IT sector as valuations have become attractive for accumulation from long term perspective.
Q. Where you see levels on benchmark indices going forward considering the FI inflows in the domestic equities?
A: Strong momentum in the market has helped Nifty rally by more than 2500 points from June lows, and thus, has wiped out the entire decline for the calendar year till date and turned positive. Strong macro data, FII turning positive, steady earnings and healthy progress in monsoon have been some of the key factors supporting the market. FIIs (including primary market) turned positive for the month of July after nine months of continuous outflows and has been continuous buyer throughout the month of August so far. With the softening of commodity prices, even inflation seems to be peaking out and festive season is about to begin which should support demand and thus corporate earnings. Thus the overall trend in the market seems to be positive, however bouts of volatility can’t be ruled out as uncertainty over rate hike quantum and China-Taiwan tussle continues. Further, with this recent rally, Nifty now trades at ~20x FY23E, above its 10-year average, thus offering limited upside in the near term. Going forward, it could be a tug of war between domestic and global factors which could determine the market direction.
Business
₹122-Crore New India Co-op Bank Scam: EOW Searches Ex-Chairman’s Home; Hitesh Mehta’s Lie Detector Test Set For March 11

Mumbai: The Mumbai police’s economic offences wing (EOW) has searched the residence of New India Cooperative Bank’s former chairman Hiren Bhanu in connection with the embezzlement of Rs 122 crore at the lender, officials said on Wednesday.
EOW Recovers Several Documents
During the search, EOW recovered several documents, which police are examining, an official said.
The house search was conducted in the Malabar Hill area of south Mumbai, where Hiren Bhanu and his wife Gauri Bhanu stayed in a rented flat, an official said. Gauri previously held the position of vice chairman at the bank.
The couple also own a flat at Nepean Sea Road which they have rented out, an official said. Both are wanted accused in the Rs 122-crore embezzlement case.
The EOW team is identifying the couple’s properties and also ascertaining whether they were acquired with the proceeds of the crime, he said.
About The Lie Detector Test
Meanwhile, the agency will conduct a lie detector test on Hitesh Mehta, former general manager and head of the accounts of the bank, on March 11, the official said.
Mehta is not cooperating and is hiding some important facts concerning the case, due to which he has not given his consent for the test, he said. But the court has permitted the police to conduct the forensic psychological test on Mehta, the official said.
The EOW is probing what prompted the Reserve Bank of India’s inspection team to visit the bank in February 2025.
As per the balance sheets of the bank, as of March 31, 2019, it had Rs 33.71 crore in cash which rose to Rs 99 crore on March 31, 2020. It’s almost a three-fold jump, he said.
On March 31, 2021, the figure further increased to 194 crore and it was Rs 105 crore in 2022. At some point in the current financial year, the amount rose to even Rs 152 crore. Police are examining why the RBI team conducted an inspection last month and not in some of the previous years, the official said.
So far, police have arrested four persons in connection with the embezzlement, and four accused are still at large, he added.
Business
Bombay HC To Decide GST Rate On Donuts And Cakes: 5% As Restaurant Service Or 18% As Bakery Product?

Mumbai: The Bombay High Court is set to decide whether donuts and cakes should be classified under restaurant services, attracting 5% GST, or as bakery products, which could be taxed up to 18%.
A bench of Justices BP Colabawalla and Firdosh Pooniwalla was hearing a plea by Mad Over Donuts (Himesh Foods) against a show-cause notice (SCN) issued by the Directorate General of GST Intelligence (DGGI).
The Court recorded the DGGI’s assurance that no coercive recovery action would be taken against the petitioner while the case is pending. It also clarified that the petitioner could seek a stay if any recovery notice is issued.
The DGGI has demanded nearly Rs100 crore in tax dues from Mad Over Donuts and other bakery chains, arguing that donuts should be taxed as bakery products rather than under restaurant services.
The petitioner’s counsel, Abhishek Rastogi, contended that the supply of food, whether consumed on-site or taken away, qualifies as a composite supply of services under the CGST Act. He cited GST notifications that include restaurant, canteen, and takeaway services under the 5% tax bracket. He also referred to a government circular that supports classifying takeaway food under restaurant services.
Additionally, the petitioner raised procedural concerns regarding the DGGI’s issuance of a centralised SCN covering multiple GST registrations. He argued that separate notices should be issued for each jurisdiction to ensure clarity and fairness.
The DGGI’s counsel, Jitendra Mishra, clarified that no recovery notice had been issued so far, and the Court accepted this as an undertaking. The HC has directed the tax authorities to file their replies by March 17 and scheduled the matter for hearing on March 24.
Business
Hyundai has big plans for EV exports from India

New Delhi, March 5: India will play a key role as a manufacturing hub in achieving Hyundai Motor Company’s aim of selling 20 lakh electric vehicles in the global market by 2030, according to the company’s president and CEO Jose Munoz.
Addressing Hyundai Motor India employees at a town hall meeting in the company’s headquarters in Gurugram on the outskirts of Delhi, he said the company’s new factory that is coming up at Talegaon in Maharashtra would not only help meet domestic demand but also position HMIL as a global manufacturing hub.
HMIL aims to reach a total annual production capacity of 1.1 million vehicles when its facility at Talegaon becomes fully operational. The company HMC will continue to support HMIL to expand its EV offering and invest in the necessary infrastructure to support this shift, he added.
To meet the growing demand for vehicles, HMIL’s upcoming manufacturing facility in Talegaon will play an important role in improving local manufacturing capabilities. HMIL is dedicated to making EVs more accessible and suited to Indian consumers’ needs, aligning with the country’s push for green and eco-friendly vehicles. mobility solutions.
Munoz said, “India is the third-largest market in Hyundai’s global operations. HMIL’s IPO has helped HMC to invest and expand in new products and additional production capacity in India. HMIL has emerged as a world-class automotive manufacturing and regional export hub and is integral to Hyundai’s global vision.”
In a statement, HMIL said, “Muñoz’s visit reinforced HMC’s commitment to HMIL while highlighting the overarching strategic goals, exploring new opportunities and fostering a culture of collaboration, innovation, and excellence. He also emphasized the importance of Hyundai’s customer-centric philosophy and achieving the highest standards of quality and customer care to ensure sustainable success amid the rapidly evolving business environment.
He reinforced HMC’s unwavering support to HMIL’s commitment towards India by continuing to contribute actively towards building a ‘Viksit Bharat’, the statement added.
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