Business
If softening of inflation continues further, then it would eventually lead Fed to taper its aggression: Sneha Poddar
Sneha Poddar, AVP Research, Broking & Distribution, Motilal Oswal Financial Services, said if the softening of inflation continues further, then it would eventually lead to the US Federal Reserve to taper its aggression. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is more likely to follow the US Fed and thus would not taper its tone till its is adopted by the latter.
Here are excerpts from the interview:
Q. Do you think after US CPI inflation print which came below estimates will allow Fed to go slow on rate hike, and RBI will follow the same?
A: The US CPI inflation data for the month of July came in at 8.5 per cent, down from 9.1 per cent in June and slightly below expectation of 8.7 per cent. However the Fed officials have responded to softening inflation data by saying it doesn’t change their stance towards higher interest rates, as the inflation still remains above the unacceptable levels. Since this is just first sign of inflation peaking out, and is too early to rule out subsequent high inflation data, uncertainty will loom over when the US Fed would slow down on its aggressive rate hikes. If the softening of inflation continues further, then it would eventually lead Fed to taper its aggression. The RBI is more likely to follow US Fed and thus would not taper its tone till its is adopted by US Fed.
Q. 5.40 per cent repo rate is already above pre-pandemic level, but still the RBI maintains “withdrawal of accomodation” stance. Do you think the neutral level of the repo rate is at or above 6 per cent?
A: The RBI has cumulatively hiked the policy repo rate by 140bp to 5.4 per cent in FY23 till date. It reiterated its continued focus on “withdrawal of accommodation” to contain inflation while supporting growth. However, it kept its inflation/growth forecasts unchanged at 6.7 per cent/7.2 per cent YoY, respectively, for FY23. This seems very confusing as how can the rate hikes help contain inflation without hurting growth? Further, the MPC did not sound dovish at all. There was neither a change in stance nor a relief in the RBI Governor’s statement disclaiming a possible pause in rate hikes. Thus we believe that the terminal rate in this hike cycle might be at 5.75-6.0 per cent
Q. In the current market conditions, which sectors are likely to perform well from an investor returns point-of-view?
A: We believe BFSI can do well in rising interest rate scenario. On the other hand with good monsoon, upcoming festive season and softening of commodity prices, the demand both urban and rural are expected to revive and pick up and thus we are positive on Consumer, Auto and Retail. With the opening up of economy and the structural shift being witnessed in favour of the industry post Covid, QSR remains in a sweet spot. While uncertainty around quantum of interest rate hikes is likely to impact the performance of real estate stocks in the near term, longer-term thesis on revival of housing cycle remains intact. There is imminent opportunity in the domestic Hospitality industry and the expected upcycle bodes well for the sector. We are selectively looking at IT sector as valuations have become attractive for accumulation from long term perspective.
Q. Where you see levels on benchmark indices going forward considering the FI inflows in the domestic equities?
A: Strong momentum in the market has helped Nifty rally by more than 2500 points from June lows, and thus, has wiped out the entire decline for the calendar year till date and turned positive. Strong macro data, FII turning positive, steady earnings and healthy progress in monsoon have been some of the key factors supporting the market. FIIs (including primary market) turned positive for the month of July after nine months of continuous outflows and has been continuous buyer throughout the month of August so far. With the softening of commodity prices, even inflation seems to be peaking out and festive season is about to begin which should support demand and thus corporate earnings. Thus the overall trend in the market seems to be positive, however bouts of volatility can’t be ruled out as uncertainty over rate hike quantum and China-Taiwan tussle continues. Further, with this recent rally, Nifty now trades at ~20x FY23E, above its 10-year average, thus offering limited upside in the near term. Going forward, it could be a tug of war between domestic and global factors which could determine the market direction.
Business
‘1st Bullet Train To Run On 15th August, 2027’: Railway Minister Ashwini Vaishnaw Shares BIG Update On Mumbai–Ahmedabad High Speed Rail Corridor

Mumbai: The work on India’s ambitious Mumbai-Ahmedabad Bullet Train Project is progressing at full pace, and the Centre has now announced a long-awaited timeline. Union Railway Minister Ashwini Vaishnaw on Thursday said that the country’s first bullet train will begin operations on August 15, 2027, marking a major milestone in India’s railway modernisation journey.
The announcement has brought clarity to a question many citizens have been asking, when will India finally see its first bullet train in operation. The high-speed rail project, which is currently under construction, is expected to majorly reduce travel time between Mumbai in Maharashtra and Ahmedabad in Gujarat and introduce global standards of rail infrastructure in the country.
Meanwhile, Vaishnaw also introduced India’s first Vande Bharat sleeper train, which will soon begin service on the Guwahati–Kolkata route. The train will be flagged off by Prime Minister Narendra Modi in the coming days, the minister said.
Vaishnaw said the Vande Bharat sleeper train has successfully completed its testing and certification process. Highlighting its importance, he said the new service will offer world-class facilities, enhanced safety and a modern travel experience for passengers undertaking long-distance overnight journeys.
“The complete testing and certification of the Vande Bharat sleeper train has been completed. Its first route is proposed to be Guwahati–Kolkata. Prime Minister Narendra Modi will flag off the first Vande Bharat sleeper train on this route in the coming days. This achievement is a major milestone,” Vaishnaw said.
On December 30, 2025, the railway minister shared a video on social media platform X showing the sleeper version of the Vande Bharat train undergoing high-speed trials. The video demonstrated the train’s stability as its speed increased from 178 kmph to 180 kmph within seconds.According to the Railway Ministry’s year-end review, the Vande Bharat sleeper trains are expected to revolutionise long-distance rail travel in India. Initially, the trains will be introduced on busy routes and later expanded across the network, significantly cutting travel time.
The Vande Bharat sleeper trains are manufactured by BEML Limited using technology developed by the Integral Coach Factory (ICF). Each train consists of 16 coaches, including AC First Class, AC 2-Tier and AC 3-Tier coaches, with a total passenger capacity of 1,128. With a top speed of 180 kmph, the Vande Bharat sleeper ranks among the fastest overnight trains in the country.
Currently, Indian Railways operates semi-high-speed Vande Bharat trains with a design speed of 180 kmph and a maximum operational speed of 160 kmph. The sleeper version aims to combine the comfort of the Rajdhani Express with advanced modern technology, offering a new standard for overnight rail travel in India.
Business
ITC falls to 52-week low, Godfrey Phillips plunges on higher excise duty from Feb

Mumbai, Jan 1: Shares of major cigarette makers fell sharply on Thursday after the government announced to slap a fresh excise duty on cigarettes next month, a move that is expected to push up prices and impact sales.
Stocks of ITC and Godfrey Phillips dropped by as much as 19 per cent during the intra-day’s trade on Thursday.
According to a government order, the new excise duty will come into effect from February 1.
The duty has been fixed in the range of Rs 2,050 to Rs 8,500 per thousand cigarette sticks, depending on the length of the cigarettes.
This additional tax is likely to make cigarettes more expensive, which could hurt demand and weigh on the earnings of cigarette companies.
Following the announcement, ITC shares fell up to 10 per cent on the BSE and hit a 52-week low of Rs 362.70.
The stock also came under pressure due to a large block deal reported during the session, which added to the selling momentum.
Over the past one year, ITC shares have declined 17 per cent and are down 9 per cent in the last six months.
The company remains one of the heavyweight stocks in the benchmark indices, with a market capitalisation of over Rs 4.75 lakh crore.
Godfrey Phillips shares saw an even steeper fall. The stock tumbled nearly 19 per cent to touch the day’s low of Rs 2,230.15 on the BSE.
Despite the sharp fall on Thursday, the stock is still up nearly 49 per cent over the past one year.
The new excise duty on cigarettes will be levied over and above the goods and services tax. As per the new structure, cigarettes, tobacco and similar products will attract a GST rate of 40 per cent from next month.
The excise duty will replace the compensation cess that was earlier imposed on these products.
The change follows Parliament’s approval of an amendment law in December that replaces the temporary levy on cigarettes and tobacco products.
Business
Sensex, Nifty end flat amid mixed sectoral cues

Mumbai, Dec 30: Indian benchmark indices ended Tuesday’s session almost flat, but with a slight negative tone, as gains in PSU banks, metal and auto stocks were offset by selling pressure in IT, FMCG, realty and pharma shares.
The Sensex closed at 84,675.08, slipping 20.46 points or 0.02 per cent, while the Nifty settled marginally lower at 25,938.85, down 3.25 points or 0.01 per cent.
“The Nifty has also slipped below the 21 EMA, reinforcing the short-term downtrend. Immediate support is placed in the 25,850–25,870 zone,” market watchers stated.
“A decisive break below this level could intensify bearish sentiment, while resistance is placed at 26,000,” analysts mentioned.
Markets witnessed a cautious mood as investors balanced sector-specific buying against profit booking in select heavyweights.
On the Sensex, stocks such as Eternal, Infosys, Asian Paints, UltraTech Cement and Bajaj Finance ended among the top losers, weighing on the index.
On the other hand, M&M, Tata Steel, Bajaj Finserv and Axis Bank provided support and closed higher.
The broader market also saw mild weakness. The Nifty Midcap 100 index ended lower by 0.15 per cent, while the Nifty Smallcap 100 declined 0.28 per cent.
Sector-wise, real estate, IT and pharma stocks remained under pressure. The Nifty Realty index fell 0.84 per cent, while the Nifty IT and Pharma indices declined 0.74 per cent and 0.17 per cent, respectively.
In contrast, strong buying was seen in PSU bank, metal and auto stocks. The Nifty PSU Bank index jumped 1.69 per cent, the Nifty Metal index rose 2.03 per cent, and the Nifty Auto index gained 1.08 per cent.
Analysts said that the market ended the day on a flat note as investors preferred selective buying, with sectoral trends driving movement rather than broad-based participation.
“Fresh buying at lower levels, along with short covering in banking, auto, and metal stocks following the expiry of monthly derivative contracts, helped the Nifty recoup most of its intraday losses and close the session largely flat,” market watchers mentioned.
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