Business
Trade imbalance to widen FY22 Current Account deficit to 1.5% of GDP
Greater trade deficit is expected to widen India’s current account deficit to 1.5 per cent of the GDP in FY22.
Notably, India’s current account was in a surplus of 0.9 per cent in FY21.
The recent data showed that a wider trade deficit on the back of expensive commodities negatively impacted the current account.
Resultantly, India’s Q3FY22 current account widened to $23 billion.
“Wider CAD in 3QFY22 was on account of a larger merchandise trade deficit, which stood at 7.2 per cent of GDP, following a deficit of 5.9 per cent of GDP (or USD44.5b) in 2QFY22,” said Motilal Oswal Financial Services in a report.
“A spurt in imports vis-a-vis exports led to a wider merchandise trade deficit. Excluding petroleum products, India had a current account surplus of 0.8 per cent of GDP, lower than 2.2 per cent of GDP in 2QFY22 and 1.9 per cent of GDP in 3QFY21.”
Besides, the report pointed out that excluding gold, India had a current account deficit of 1.1 per cent of GDP in 3QFY22.
Furthermore, the report said that net foreign capital inflows into India amounted to $23.2 billion supported by other investments such as higher trade credit, advances, and receivables.
“While FDI investments halved to $5.1 billion in 3QFY22 from $10 billion in 2QFY22, there was a net outflow of $4.7 billion in FPI investments in 3QFY22 from an inflow of a similar quantity in 2QFY22.”
“Accordingly, there were barely any FXR accretions in 3QFY22.”
In addition, the report said that GDS (gross domestic savings) was at a six-quarter low in 3QFY22.
“With total investments decelerating to 28.6 per cent of GDP in 3QFY22 and CAD at 2.7 per cent of GDP, implied savings too moderated to only 25.9 per cent of GDP in 3QFY22 from 32.3 per cent of GDP in 2QFY22.”
Business
RBI projects 5 pc inflation for FY27, seen rising in near term

Mumbai, Aug 5: The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on Wednesday projected consumer price inflation at 5 per cent for FY27, while expecting it to rise further in the near term.
Announcing the Monetary Policy Committee’s (MPC) decision to keep the repo rate unchanged at 5.25 per cent, Malhotra said headline consumer price inflation (CPI) rose to 4.4 per cent in June after remaining below the central bank’s 4 per cent target for 16 consecutive months.
However, he reiterated that the Indian economy remains resilient and continues to be supported by robust domestic demand, sustained manufacturing and services activity, healthy investment trends and strong exports.
Moreover, Q1 inflation was 30 basis points lower than the RBI’s earlier projection, reflecting limited pass-through of input cost pressures, he noted.
Despite the increase in food and fuel costs, core inflation — excluding food and fuel — remained unchanged at 3.9 per cent during May and June.
Excluding precious metals, core inflation was even lower at 2.3-2.5 per cent, indicating that broader demand-side inflationary pressures remain subdued.
In addition, the RBI has projected CPI inflation at 5 per cent for FY27, with quarterly projections of 4.7 per cent in Q2, 5.9 per cent in Q3 and 5.5 per cent in Q4.
While inflation for the first quarter of FY28 is projected at 5.3 per cent.
Malhotra said risks to the inflation outlook continue to stem from the impact of El Nino on rainfall distribution, volatility in global crude oil prices and geopolitical developments.
The Governor added that growth remains resilient, supported by steady domestic demand, sustained expansion in manufacturing and services activity, healthy investment trends and robust exports.
High-frequency indicators suggest that private consumption remained strong during the first quarter of FY27, while investment activity continued to be supported by construction, capital goods production and bank credit growth.
“Growth continues to be supported by resilient domestic demand, sustained expansion in manufacturing and services activity, and robust exports, reaffirming India’s position as the world’s fastest-growing major economy,” Malhotra said.
The RBI Governor said the MPC decided to maintain the repo rate and retain the neutral policy stance as greater clarity is needed on the future trajectory and composition of inflation before any monetary policy action is considered.
Business
Indian equity markets open higher ahead of RBI’s policy outcome

Mumbai, Aug 5: Domestic equity markets opened higher on Wednesday ahead of the RBI’s policy decision as the headline index surged almost 1 per cent, while global cues were also positive.
Sensex started the trading session at 79,055.38, up over 600 points or 0.8 per cent, while Nifty opened 54 points or 0.22 per cent higher at 24,669.20.
Sector-wise, realty, auto, energy, PSU banking stocks were gainers as Nifty Realty, Nifty Auto, Nifty PSU Bank and Nifty Oil & Gas surged up to 2 per cent. While Nifty Metal, Nifty Cement, Nifty Chemicals also edged up.
In contrast, healthcare and pharmaceuticals shares witnessed selling pressure in early deals, with Nifty Healthcare, Nifty Pharma, Nifty FMCG and Nifty Private Bank declining up to almost 1 per cent.
Meanwhile, Apollo Hospitals, Sun Pharma, Cipla, Dr Reddy’s Laboratories, SBI Life, Nestle India, ITC and Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) were top losers of the Nifty index.
Analysts said that sharp dip in Brent crude to below $80 and record closing in the US markets augur well for the Indian market today.
“The focus of the market today will be the monetary policy. The central bank is almost certain to hold the rates in today’s policy since any rate hike now will impact the ongoing growth momentum in the economy,” they said.
Experts further noted the growth resilience in the economy, improving corporate earnings growth and FIIs turning buyers for the sixth day in a row are positives from the market perspective, adding that it appears that the market is poised for a breakout on the upside.
Brent crude — international oil benchmark — declined by 1.61 per cent to trade around $78 per barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude also decreased about 2 per cent to $74.24 per barrel.
Business
Emami Q1 net profit falls 16 pc to Rs 137 crore

Mumbai, Aug 4: FMCG major Emami Limited on Tuesday reported a 16.38 per cent year-on-year (YoY) decline in net profit for the quarter ended June 2026 (Q1 FY27).
The Kolkata-based FMCG company posted a net profit of Rs 137.3 crore for the quarter, compared with Rs 164.2 crore in the corresponding period last financial year (Q1 FY26), according to its stock exchange filing.
Despite the decline in profit, the maker of popular brands such as BoroPlus, Navratna and Zandu recorded healthy growth in revenue.
Revenue from operations rose 14.9 per cent year-on-year to Rs 1,039.2 crore in the June quarter, up from Rs 904.1 crore a year ago.
At the operating level, earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) increased 5.5 per cent to Rs 226.18 crore, compared with Rs 214.29 crore in the year-ago quarter.
However, operating margins narrowed during the quarter. EBITDA margin stood at 21.7 per cent, down from 23.7 per cent in the corresponding quarter of the previous financial year, as per its regulatory filing.
Founded in 1974 by R.S. Agarwal and R.C. Goenka, Emami is one of India’s leading fast-moving consumer goods companies.
The company has a strong presence in personal care and healthcare segments through brands including BoroPlus, Navratna, Zandu, Kesh King, Dermicool and The Man Company.
Headquartered in Kolkata, Emami has a footprint in more than 70 countries and operates through a network of over 4,000 distributors.
The company reported a turnover of Rs 3,780 crore in FY26 and continues to expand its presence across domestic and international markets.
The shares of the FMCG firm were trading at Rs 394, down 2.96 per cent or Rs 12 on the National Stock Exchange (NSE).
In last five days, the shares have delivered a negative return of 4.85 per cent or Rs 20.10.
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