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Even amid pullout, FIIs have raised their stake in certain companies

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Foreign investors pulling out money from the Indian equity segment had made several headlines in the recent months.

Pulling out over $42 billion or Rs 3.26 lakh crore from the Indian markets in the last eight months, foreign investors have been net-sellers in the Indian market during these straight months.

FPIs have been selling across the board, though with some sectors seeing more pressure and some others less.

The underlying reason behind the pullout is that the stock market has been witnessing significant volatility amid tightening of monetary policy actions through key lending rates hike to address rising inflation and geopolitical tensions. Rising interest rates are typically a deterrent to economic growth as it raises lending costs of the industries.

That said, there are some large stocks where the foreign institutional investors have raised their stakes and they are ITC, Sun Pharma, ONGC, NTPC, PowerGrid and JSW Steel, said Sunil Damania, Chief Investment Officer at MarketsMojo.

FIIs’ stake in these companies rose 2 per cent, 0.9 per cent, 1.04 per cent, 0.2 per cent, 1.16 per cent, and 0.37 per cent, respectively, during the January-March quarter.

Besides, auto sector is doing well in this falling market and it’s quite likely stronger hands like FIIs too may be participating in this upmove and statistically, there are 3 stocks among Nifty 100 space where in last 4 quarters had consistent rise in foreign investors stake, said Siddarth Bhamre, Head of Research at Religare Broking,adding that those stocks are IOC, Siemens, and NTPC.

Asked if this is not the right time to invest in the stock market, which are the other safe asset options, Bhamre said equity always offers good investment opportunities in any market condition.

“As we highlighted above, many names among large cap spaces gave positive returns even in falling markets and these names are not from defensive sectors. In the current market scenario, only the dollar is doing well. Rising interest rates aka rising bond yields are taking bond prices down, commodities are correcting, real estate has liquidity issues, and prices are just stable not increasing, FD rates are still not attractive. So equity remains the asset class to be in but unlike the bull market not everything will go up and one will have to be very selective.”

In the small size company space, Globus Power, Kiri Industries, Restaurant Brand, Brightcom Group, Calcom Vision, Celebrity Fash, Axita Cotton, Lemon Tree Hotel, Indiabull Real Estate, and Camlin Fine are some of the stocks where FIIs raised their stakes, Damania said. Among them, Globus Power saw the highest rise in stake at 18 per cent.

“For investors who are not fully invested or who have raised cash in the recent past by booking profits, these times provide an opportunity to gradually raise the equity portion of their portfolio. While shortlisting investable stocks, one will have to be careful of not having exposure to sectors or stocks that have been derated due to very high valuations or very high financial forecasts that seem difficult to achieve,” said Deepak Jasani, Head of Retail Research at HDFC Securities, to a query on what must investors do amidst this volatility.

Also, stocks that did well due to commodity uprun over the last one odd year need to be examined closely for sustainability of earnings, while stocks that could see a feeble or elongated recovery also need to be avoided, he added.

Upon markets being in the negative territory, retail investors will refrain from making large new commitments in the markets except to average their holdings or to top up their equity portion in some favoured stocks, he said.

Business

Gold, silver decline up to 1 pc as US-Iran tensions weigh sentiment

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New Delhi, Aug 14: Gold and silver prices traded sharply lower on Friday amid heightened geopolitical uncertainty after US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent warned of never-before-seen economic measures against Iran.

On the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX), gold futures (October) declined as much as 0.8 per cent or Rs 1,233 to Rs 1,52,233, hitting an intraday low by 10:22 am.

At the last count, the yellow metal was trading at 1,52,415, down Rs 1,051 or 0.68 per cent. It touched an intraday high of Rs 1,53,200 so far in the session, a decrease of 0.17 per cent or Rs 266 from the previous close.

Similarly, silver futures (September) recorded an intraday low of Rs 2,32,454, decreasing 1.27 per cent or Rs 2,993.

The white metal was trading at Rs 2,32,880, down Rs 2,567 or about 1 per cent. It touched an intraday high of Rs 2,33,982, down 0.62 per cent or Rs 1,465.

Earlier in the day, gold and silver opened at Rs 1,53,200 and Rs 2,33,780, respectively on the MCX.

The selling pressure in precious metals came after reports suggest that Bessent said the US would use a combination of economic isolation and a continued blockade of the Strait of Hormuz.

According to market experts, MCX Gold extends downside momentum, trading near Rs 152,500 after facing rejection from highs near Rs 155,500.

They further noted that immediate resistance is placed at Rs 153,000–Rs 153,500 near open and a decisive move above could push toward Rs 154,000–Rs 154,500.

Immediate support is seen at Rs 152,000–Rs 151,500, followed by stronger support at Rs 151,000, the experts said adding that price continues to hold comfortably above all major EMAs, but MACD indicates slowing bullish momentum and RSI reverses from overbought territory, reflecting possible near-term pressure.

For MCX Silver, the experts stated that immediate support is seen at the Rs 232,000 zone, followed by stronger support at Rs 231,500–Rs 231,000.

Price breaks below the 20-day EMA, with MACD indicating slowing bullish momentum, while RSI eases, supporting the trend-reversal narrative and reflecting near-term pressure. Bias remains cautious, with a break below Rs 232,000 likely to invite further downside.

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Business

India may attract up to $95 billion inflows in FY27 on strong FCNR response: Report

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New Delhi : Robust foreign currency non‑resident (bank) FCNR(B) inflows and related measures from RBI are now expected to generate $90–95 billion of capital inflows in FY27, lifting India’s balance of payments to a surplus of $64 billion, a report has said.

The report from CareEdge Ratings said the agency has revised up its FCNR(B) projection to about $80 billion and expects External Commercial Borrowings and Overseas Foreign Currency inflows at $10–15 billion.

Consequently, India’s capital account surplus is now expected to increase to approximately $108 billion, compared with a surplus of just $2 billion in the previous year

The report added that the BoP is forecast to improve to a $64 billion surplus in FY27 from deficits of $23.6 billion in FY26 and $5 billion in FY25.

“This would represent a substantial strengthening of India’s external position and provide an important buffer against global volatility,” the ratings agency said.

The concessional swap windows for FCNR(B) deposits, External Commercial Borrowings (ECBs) and Overseas Foreign Currency Borrowings (OFCBs), amongst other policy measures announced on June 5, 2026, have seen a strong response.

The firm noted these measures have attracted USD 40.8 billion, with FCNR(B) inflows accounting for $36.7 billion, and ECBs and OFCBs together accounting for $4.1 billion between June 5 and July 31, 2026.

Large banks are currently offering deposit rates in the 6.0-6.5 per cent range, while some smaller and newer banks are offering rates close to 7 per cent for FCNR deposits.

Additionally, the availability of significant leverage for investors, with some foreign banks reportedly offering leverage as high as 19-fold to 29-fold in some cases, appears to have enhanced the attractiveness of the scheme and supported stronger-than-expected participation.

The report noted that strong capital inflows could ease domestic liquidity as banking system liquidity averaged around Rs 1.1 trillion in July and has risen to Rs 3 trillion so far in August, supported by month‑end inflows.

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Sensex, Nifty open flat as investors weigh strong domestic fundamentals against oil price risks

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Mumbai, Aug 13: Equity benchmarks opened little changed on Thursday as investors balanced robust domestic growth indicators against lingering concerns over crude oil prices.

Sensex opened 145.56 points or 0.19 per cent higher at 78,111.91, while Nifty slipped marginally by 4.35 points or 0.02 per cent to 24,431.60.

Sector-wise, Nifty Media index rose 0.61 per cent, followed by Nifty Auto which gained 0.39 per cent.

On the other hand, rate-sensitive and heavyweight sectors witnessed selling pressure. Nifty Realty declined 0.81 per cent, Nifty IT fell 0.69 per cent, while Nifty PSU Bank, Oil & Gas and Private Bank indices shed up to 0.61 per cent.

According to market experts, equities are likely to remain in a consolidation phase in the near term due to strong domestic macroeconomic fundamentals and sustained inflows from domestic investors.

High-frequency indicators such as GST collections, freight movement, automobile sales and credit growth continue to signal resilience in the economy and could support earnings growth going forward, they added.

However, elevated crude oil prices and uncertainty surrounding their future trajectory remain key risks for the market, the experts said.

Technical analysts noted that Wednesday’s rebound from the 20-day moving average and the formation of a hammer candlestick pattern have improved the near-term outlook.

“The recent price action has opened the possibility of a move towards the 24,540-24,666 zone initially, followed by 24,850-25,100. However, some consolidation may emerge near 24,490,” according to them.

Meanwhile, Brent crude slipped more than 1 per cent to $87.75 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) fell 1.64 per cent to $81.90 per barrel, helping ease concerns over inflationary pressures and input costs.

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