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Budget’s growth focus to face macro challenges

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The Budget is focused on growth, but will face macro challenges, Japanese brokerage Nomura said in a report.

First, the ability of the government — both central and states — to spend 2.9 per cent of GDP on capex will face execution hurdles. Identification of projects, on-the-ground implementation, coordination with different agencies — all typically lead to a smaller amount being spent than allocated.

Second, if revenues disappoint or other expenses rise (higher subsidies or more allocation towards rural employment, for example), then there is a risk of the capex amount being pruned.

Third, we see other growth challenges. India is currently in the midst of a business cycle recovery. However, we expect India’s growth to decelerate from H2 CY2022 onwards, reflecting weaker consumption demand from low income households (due to scarring effects and high inflation), weaker export growth and continued sub-par private capex due to low capacity utilisation.

Rising oil prices (a negative term of trade effect) and tighter global financial conditions are also growth headwinds.

Hence, if the capex-led push is not fruitful, then the growth slowdown could be material. We currently expect GDP growth of 8.7 per cent y-o-y in FY22 (reduced recently from 9.2 per cent owing to the impact of Omicron.

Nomura said we continue to expect higher inflation and wider current account deficits, largely due to rising commodity prices, although an expansionary budget may also play an incremental role. On inflation, while food prices appear in check, core inflationary pressures are rising across clothing, household goods and services and personal care items.

Firms are passing higher input prices onto consumer prices. Domestic fuel prices are currently on hold, but will likely be adjusted higher after the state elections. We expect services price inflation to also rise as the economy opens.

We expect elevated global commodity prices, high inflation and steady domestic demand to result in higher imports, widening the current account deficit to 2.6 per cent of GDP in 2022, up from a deficit of 1.3 per cent in 2021.

The Budget is unambiguously focused on reviving growth, via higher public capex. Capital expenditure generally results in a higher growth multiplier, so the continued focus on infrastructure spending, including support to states to spend on capex, is important at a time when private capex is sluggish.

The government expects to miss its budgeted fiscal deficit target of 6.8 per cent of GDP for FY22 (year ending March 2022) marginally, with an actual outturn of 6.9 per cent (Figure 1). The sharp rise in receipts of corporate taxes, robust income taxes and strong indirect taxes (in part due to higher fuel excise duties in the first half of the year) have resulted in net tax revenues exceeding budget estimates by Rs 2.2trn (1.0 per cent of GDP). However, contrary to our expectation, the government has revised up its capex commitment for the year by Rs 485bn (0.2 per cent of GDP), though this primarily reflects the government clearing its liabilities of the recently divested Air India. Also, in line with our expectations, revenue expenditure (revex) has been higher by Rs 2.4trn (1.0 per cent of GDP), reflecting the second wave support package, food and fertiliser subsidies, export incentives and extra spending by some departments. Finally, the disinvestment target has now been calibrated lower by Rs 970bn (0.4 per cent of GDP).

Business

Bharat Mobility Global Expo 2025: Toyota & Lexus Unveil Future Projects In Indian Portfolio; Images Below

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New Delhi: Japanese car maker Toyota and it’s luxury arm, Lexus have showcased some of their future models from their respective India portfolios at the Bharat Mobility Global Expo 2025. Toyota’s standout concepts include the X-Van, bZ4X, and Urban EV, while Lexus has captivated audiences with the ROV Concept 2 and LF-ZC.

Toyota’s star studded lineup

Moreover, Toyota showcased some of its updated and facelifted models during the autoshow. The Japanese car maker features included the Prius Flexi-Fuel PHEV, the Hilux FCEV, and a detailed cross-section of the Innova Hycross hybrid. Additional highlights include the striking Hilux Black Edition and the Land Cruiser 300 GR Sports, adding excitement to the brand’s lineup.

Toyota X-Van (Concept)

The X-Van, envisioned as a futuristic MPV, is designed to redefine spaciousness and versatility to meet diverse customer needs. This boxy, three-row utility vehicle eliminates the B-pillar, resulting in an expansive glasshouse and flexible seating configurations, available in 1-3-2 or 2-2-2 layouts. It features sliding suicide doors, a three-pane sunroof, and robust plastic cladding on the lower sections, adding a rugged and bold aesthetic to its innovative design.

Toyota BZ4X

The bZ4X electric SUV concept, first unveiled in 2021, is built on the e-TNGA architecture developed with Subaru. Its design features sharp styling, chunky black wheel-arch trim, a contrasting roof, and a silhouette influenced by the popular RAV4 SUV. The front showcases Toyota’s ‘Hammerhead’ design language, reminiscent of the latest Camry sold in India.

In global markets, the production-spec bZ4X comes with a 71.4kWh battery, offering a WLTP range of 450km. It’s available in two variants: a single-motor version (204hp, 265Nm) and a twin-motor AWD version (218hp, 336Nm).

Lexus LF-ZC (Concept)

The Lexus LF-ZC concept offers a glimpse into the premium electric sedan slated for international launch next year. Designed with a modular structure, its centrally placed batteries free up space for versatile front and rear configurations, supporting both single- and dual-motor setups. Lexus claims the top-spec LF-ZC will deliver a range exceeding 1,000km upon production.

The concept features Lexus’s latest design language, emphasizing sharp, aerodynamic styling. Inside, it boasts a futuristic cockpit with a steering yoke incorporating steer-by-wire technology and digital control pads seamlessly integrated across the cabin.

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Maha govt signs 31 MoUs for investment proposals worth Rs 6,25,457 crore at Davos

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Mumbai, Jan 22: The Maharashtra government has signed a record 31 MoUs with investment proposals worth Rs 6,25,457 crore in the field of steel, metals, renewable energy, infrastructure, cement, Lithium-Ion Batteries and Solar Modules on the sidelines of World Economic Forum summit at Davos.

The MoUs were signed on Tuesday in the presence of Chief Minister Devendra Fadnavis and senior government officers.

CM Fadnavis said, “The MoU signed today paves the way for Maharashtra’s comprehensive growth and development.” He further stated that this marks a new record for securing such a significant investment amount in a single day. Similarly, several investment agreements are expected on the second day as well.

Of the Rs 6,25,457 crore, JSW will invest a record Rs 3 lakh crore for Maharashtra’s Green Transformation and Tata Group will also make an investment of Rs 30,000 crore in multiple sectors.

The Chief Minister met with key executives of several companies and invited them to invest in Maharashtra. Among these, Tata Group Chairman N. Chandrasekaran held discussions with CM Fadnavis during which it was confirmed that the Group would invest Rs 30,000 crore in the state. The CM also met Carlsberg Group CEO Jacob Aarup-Andersen, who expressed interest in investing in Maharashtra.

The Chief Minister assured him of full cooperation for the group’s plans. Additionally, M.A. Yusuff Ali, Managing Director of the Lulu Group, conveyed interest in investing in Nagpur and expanding operations in Maharashtra.

CM Fadnavis held discussions with ReNew Power Chairman and CEO Sumant Sinha about a 15,000 MW pipeline and wind energy projects in the Beed district. Schneider Electric India’s Managing Director and CEO Deepak Sharma also met the Chief Minister. Discussions included the use of AI in the energy sector and strengthening ITIs in the state with assistance from the World Bank. Expansion plans in Ahilyanagar and Nashik were also hinted at. Mastercard APAC President Ling Hai held talks with CM Fadnavis, while Louis Dreyfus Company CEO Michael Gelchie discussed opportunities in agriculture, food processing, international shipping, and financial sectors. Emphasis was placed on enhancing collaboration in agriculture. The CM also met Cognizant CEO Ravi Kumar S. and discussed potential investments and opportunities.

“The series of meetings highlighted Maharashtra’s focus on attracting substantial global investments and fostering economic development,” said the Chief Minister’s Office in a release.

CM Fadnavis in his post on X said, “Extremely happy to witness the historic Rs 3,00,000 crore MoU signing between Govt of Maharashtra & JSW Group, with an employment generation of 10,000 in the regions of Chhatrapati Sambhajinagar, Gadchiroli, and Nagpur. Very much thankful to Sajjan Jindal ji for being a part of this historic moment at Davos, which will give a huge boost to Maharashtra’s industrial environment. It will give a big boost to Maharashtra’s industrial environment. The areas of this investment like Renewable Energy, Infrastructure, Cement, Lithium-Ion Batteries, and Solar Modules will play a huge role in our mission ‘Green Maharashtra.”

The government signed an MoU with Waaree Energy with a total investment of Rs 30,000 crore in green energy and solar components. it will create 7,500 jobs. The company chairman Hitesh Joshi was present.

The government inked an MoU with Blackstone-Panchshil Realty for an investment of Rs 25,000 crore for the development of the data centre. It will generate 500 jobs. Further, Blackstone will invest Rs 25,000 crore in Information Technology in the Mumbai Metropolitan Region. It will create 1,000 jobs.

The government inked an MoU with Erulearning Solutions for an investment worth Rs 20,000 crore in education. The government signed an MoU with ZR2 Group for investment worth Rs 17,500 crore in automobiles and EVs in Pune region to generate 4,000 jobs.

The state government and Balasore Alloys Ltd signed an MoU for investment of Rs 17,000 crore in steel and metals. The venture will generate 3,200 jobs. The company was represented by Satish Kaushik at the time of the signing of the MoU.

The state government and Reliance Infrastructure Ltd signed an MoU for investment worth Rs 16,500 crore in the defence sector. It will generate 2,450 jobs. The company was represented by Sateesh Seth.

Powerin Urjaa will invest Rs 15,299 crore in green energy and generate 4,000 jobs. Open Origin India Inc will invest Rs 15,000 crore in green energy to create 1,000 jobs.

Viraj Profiles Pvt Ltd and the state government inked an MoU for the investment of Rs 12,000 crore in steel and metals to generate 3,500 jobs. Neeraj Raja Kochhar, Chairman and MD of Viraj Profiles was present at the time of the signing of the MoU.

Avani Power Batteries will make investment of Rs 10,521 crore in electronics to generate 5,000 jobs in Chhatrapati Sambhajinagar. H2e Power will invest 10,750 crore in green energy to create 1,850 jobs in Pune region.

The government signed an MoU with Rural Enhancers for investment worth Rs 10,000 crore in social sectors including hospitals.

The government inked an MoU with Welspun for an investment worth Rs 8,500 crore in logistics to generate 17,300 jobs.

Essar in partnership with Blue Energy will invest Rs 8,000 crore in green energy to create 2,000 jobs.

Further, United Phosphorus will make an investment of Rs 6,500 crore in green energy to generate 3,000 jobs. The government signed an MoU with Olectra EV for investment worth Rs 3,000 crore in automotive and EV to generate 3,000 jobs.

Kalyani Group will invest Rs 5,250 crore in defence, steel and EV. It will create 4,000 jobs. The MoU was signed in the presence of CM Fadnavis and Vice-Chairman & Joint MD of Bharat Forge Limited Amit Kalyani. “Thank you Amit Kalyani for joining this MoU signing at Davos! This investment is special because it is coming to Gadchiroli, which will give better lives to so many,” said the chief minister.

Gensol will invest Ra 4,000 crore in electronics in Chhatrapati Sambhajinagar to create 500 jobs. The government inked an MoU with & El Mont for the investment of Rs 2,000 crore in infrastructure. It will generate 5,000 jobs. The company director Kabir Bhandari was present.

BookMyShow will invest Rs 1,700 crore in the entertainment sector to generate 500 jobs. Further, the government signed an MoU with Tembo for an investment worth Rs 1,000 crore in the defence sector. It will create 300 jobs. The company director Shabbir Merchant was present on the occasion.

The government also inked an MoU with AB InBev in the F&B segment for investment worth Rs 750 crore. Kartikeya Sharma, President, India & South East Asia of AB InBev was present on the occasion.

Moreover, the government inked an MoU with CEAT Limited for investment worth Rs 500 crore in automotive and EC to generate 500 jobs.

Bisleri International will invest Rs 250 crore in food and beverages in the Mumbai Metropolitan Region to create 600 jobs. The MoU signed paves the way for Maharashtra’s comprehensive growth and development.

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India sees surge in deal activity at record $116 billion in 2024

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New Delhi, Jan 21: India’s deal-making landscape witnessed a landmark year in 2024, with a record 2,186 deals valued at $116 billion, marking a 33 per cent increase in volumes and 76 per cent surge in values (year-over-year), a report showed on Tuesday.

Driven by India’s status as the fastest-growing G20 economy, with a 7 per cent growth rate driven by robust domestic demand, the country’s deal-making activity reached new heights, defying global economic uncertainty, and demonstrating the resilience of its economy, according to the Grant Thornton Bharat ‘Annual Dealtracker 2024’.

“As we look ahead to 2025, we are optimistic about the prospects for continued robust deal activity, fuelled by government reforms, a stable economy, and a thriving tech ecosystem, making India an attractive destination for investors despite global uncertainties,” said Shanthi Vijetha, Partner, Growth at Grant Thornton Bharat.

The mergers and acquisition landscape witnessed a record-breaking year, with 683 deals valued at $44.1 billion, marking a 37 per cent increase in volumes and a 75 per cent surge in values compared to the previous year.

Domestic consolidation drove growth, with 479 deals amounting to $23.5 billion, a 64 per cent increase in values, led by Indian conglomerates such as Adani Group, Aditya Birla Group and Nazara Technologies.

Outbound M&A also witnessed significant growth, with 121 deals valuing $16.9 billion, driven by two billion-dollar deals, according to the report.

The private equity landscape demonstrated resilience in 2024, with 1,298 deals raising $31 billion, up from 1,046 deals valuing $27.4 billion in 2023.

The year witnessed a 26 per cent rise in high-value deals (estimated at and over $100 million) and two billion-dollar deals.

The initial public offerings (IPO) activity reached unprecedented heights in 2024, defying global economic headwinds, with 86 listings raising a record $21 billion, more than triple the $6.2 billion raised in 2023, said the report.

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