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Budget 2025-26 gives big boost to agriculture as ‘first engine of growth’

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New Delhi, Feb 1: Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman identified agriculture as “the first engine” for India’s development journey with the announcement of a slew of measures in Budget 2025-26 to raise farm production and increase the incomes of farmers.

She said that a Makhana Board would be set up in Bihar, to improve the production, processing, value addition, and marketing of makhana (fox nut) as well as support the people engaged in these activities to be organised into Farmer Producer Organisations (FPOs). The Board will provide handholding and training support to makhana farmers and also work to ensure they receive the benefits of all relevant government schemes, she added.

The Minister also stated that a National Mission on High Yielding Seeds will be launched with an aim to strengthen the research ecosystem, targeted development and propagation of seeds with high yield, pest resistance and climate resilience, and commercial availability of more than 100 seed varieties released since July 2024.

Under the Prime Minister Krishi Yojana, a new initiative inspired by the success of the Aspirational District Programme, the government will launch an agricultural district programme in partnership with states. This will target 100 districts with low productivity, moderate crop intensity, and below-average credit parameters. The initiative is expected to benefit 1.7 crore farmers.

She further stated that to provide conservation support to both public and private sectors for genetic resources and ensure future food and nutritional security, a second Gene Bank with 10 lakh germplasm lines will be set up.

The Finance Minister also announced that the government will launch a 6-year mission aimed at achieving self-reliance in pulses, with a special focus on tur and masoor. Central agencies such as the NAFED and the NCCF will be prepared to procure these three pulses from farmers who register with the agencies and enter into agreements. This initiative will run over the next four years, ensuring support and guaranteed procurement for farmers.

Announcing the “Mission for Cotton Productivity”, FM Sitharaman highlighted that the five-year mission will facilitate significant improvements in the productivity and sustainability of cotton farming, and promote extra-long-staple cotton varieties. She said the mission will benefit lakhs of cotton-growing farmers as the best of science & technology support will be provided to farmers. Aligned with the government’s integrated 5F vision for the textile sector, the Minister remarked that the mission will help increase the incomes of the farmers as well as ensure a steady supply of quality cotton for rejuvenating India’s traditional textile sector.

Noting the importance of Kisan Credit Cards (KCC) in facilitating short-term loans for around 7.7 crore farmers, fishermen, and dairy farmers, the Minister announced the enhancement of loan limit under the Modified Interest Subvention Scheme from Rs 3 lakh to Rs 5 lakh for loans taken through the KCC.

Besides, FM Sitharaman announced the setting up of a urea plant with an annual capacity of 12.7 lakh metric tons at Namrup in Assam. This, she said will further augment urea supply and help to achieve Atmanirbharta in urea production, along with the recently reopened three dormant urea plants in the Eastern region.

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Markets open lower amid weak global cues, rising crude oil prices

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Mumbai, July 20: Domestic equity markets opened lower on Monday, tracking weak global cues and spike in crude oil prices amid escalating tensions in the Middle East kept investors cautious.

Sensex fell over 500 points or 0.7 per cent to an intraday low of 77,591 in early trade, while Nifty started the session 144 points or 0.6 per cent lower at 24,190.05.

Sectorally, selling pressure was concentrated in financial stocks, with Nifty Private Bank index dropping more than 2 per cent, followed by the Nifty Realty index, which slipped over 1 per cent.

In contrast, the Nifty PSU Bank index gained around 1 per cent, while the Nifty Pharma, Nifty Healthcare, Nifty Metal and Nifty Oil & Gas indices traded in positive territory.

Among Nifty constituents, HDFC Bank, Axis Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank, IndiGo and Shriram Finance emerged as the top losers in early trade.

According to market experts, despite the weak global backdrop, the domestic market’s technical structure remains resilient, and any decline is likely to attract buying at lower levels. They said the derivatives setup continues to support a bullish undertone, with the Nifty expected to find immediate support around the 24,100 level, while 24,500 is likely to act as the key resistance.

Meanwhile, international oil prices surged after the Middle East conflict escalated further over the weekend, with the United States and Iran exchanging fresh attacks.

Brent crude rose nearly 3 per cent to approach the $90-a-barrel mark, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude gained more than 3 per cent to $85.39 a barrel.

Tehran said the ceasefire between the two countries had effectively collapsed, heightening concerns over potential disruptions to oil supplies through one of the world’s busiest shipping routes.

Asian markets traded mixed. Japan’s Nikkei and South Korea’s Kospi tumbled more than 4 per cent each, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng gained around 2 per cent. Indonesia’s Jakarta Composite and China’s Shanghai Composite also rose by up to 1 per cent.

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Q1 earnings, US-Iran tensions likely to drive Dalal Street next week

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Mumbai, July 19: The Indian equity market is expected to remain driven by domestic earnings and global developments in the coming week after the benchmark indices ended higher, extending their recovery amid concerns over geopolitical risks, elevated oil prices and uncertainty surrounding the global interest rate outlook.

The Nifty gained around 0.53 per cent during the week to close at 24,334.30, while the Sensex advanced nearly 0.75 per cent to settle at 78,151.45.

The resilience in the market came despite persistent foreign fund outflows and heightened tensions in the Middle East.

Investors’ primary focus will be on the June quarter (Q1 FY27) earnings season, which gathers pace in the third week with more than 250 companies scheduled to announce their financial results.

Corporate commentary on demand trends, margins, capital expenditure and future growth outlook is expected to play a key role in shaping market sentiment and stock-specific movements.

Global geopolitical developments are also likely to remain in focus after the United States carried out fresh strikes on Iran.

The US Central Command said the operation followed an earlier Iranian attack in Jordan that killed two American military personnel, while another service member remains missing.

Crude oil prices will be another key monitorable for investors. Oil prices jumped more than 4 per cent on Friday to their highest level in over a month as the intensifying conflict between the US and Iran raised concerns about possible supply disruptions in the Gulf region.

Institutional investment flows will also remain under scrutiny. Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) extended their selling streak for the fifth consecutive session on Friday, recording a provisional net outflow of Rs 376.41 crore. In contrast, domestic institutional investors (DIIs) continued to support the market, remaining net buyers for the eighth straight session with provisional purchases worth Rs 1,017.89 crore.

Exchange data showed that DIIs bought equities worth Rs 17,180.08 crore and sold shares worth Rs 16,162.19 crore during the session.

Meanwhile, FIIs purchased equities worth Rs 14,393.77 crore but sold shares worth Rs 14,770.18 crore, resulting in a provisional net outflow of Rs 376.41 crore.

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MCX gold may test Rs 1.39 lakh support, silver outlook remains weak amid global uncertainty: Analysts

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Mumbai, July 18: MCX Gold and Silver are expected to remain volatile in the near term as investors assess geopolitical developments in the Middle East, movements in crude oil prices, and the US Federal Reserve’s policy outlook, according to market analysts.

Analysts said MCX Gold ended the week on a negative note but managed to stabilise around the key psychological support level of Rs 1,40,000.

They believe a decisive break below this level could accelerate selling pressure and drag prices towards the Rs 1,39,300-Rs 1,38,700 support zone.

“MCX Gold ended the week on a negative note but managed to find support near Rs 1,40,000 and is attempting to stabilise above this key level. A decisive break below Rs 1,40,000 could extend the decline toward the Rs 1,39,300–Rs 1,38,700 support zone,” as per the market expert.

“On the upside, immediate resistance is placed at Rs 1,40,700–Rs 1,41,000, followed by Rs 1,42,000–Rs 1,42,700. A sustained move above these resistance zones could strengthen recovery momentum,” an analyst stated.

MCX Silver also ended the week with a cautious negative bias, continuing to trade below key resistance levels.

Analysts expect resistance in the Rs 2,17,000-Rs 2,18,000 range, followed by Rs 2,20,000-Rs 2,21,000.

“On the downside, Rs 2,15,000–Rs 2,14,000 remains the immediate support zone, while a break below this area could drag prices toward Rs 2,11,000–Rs 2,10,000,” a market expert mentioned.

“Overall, the broader trend remains weak, with sustained strength above key resistance levels needed to signal a meaningful recovery,” the analyst stated.

Globally, COMEX Gold also finished the week with a negative bias while attempting to hold above the important $4,000 support level.

Analysts said a break below this mark could trigger fresh selling towards the $3,920-$3,900 zone, whereas a recovery above $4,050-$4,070 could lift prices towards $4,120-$4,150.

COMEX Silver remained under pressure as well, with prices trying to sustain above the $55-$54.50 support area.

Analysts noted that a decisive break below this range could lead to further weakness towards $53, while a move above $56.50-$57 could improve sentiment and potentially drive prices towards $59.

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