Business
Union Budget 2025 to act as catalyst for India’s $5 trillion economy goal
New Delhi, Jan 29: India’s goal of becoming a $5 trillion economy calls for policies that promote sustainable and inclusive growth and the Union Budget 2025-26 can act as a catalyst for growth while ensuring equity and efficiency in the economy, a pre-budget survey showed on Wednesday.
As India prepares for the Budget, the economic outlook remains positive, reflecting a shared confidence among businesses in the nation’s growth trajectory.
Grant Thornton Bharat’s pre-budget survey showed that India is on track to become the fourth-largest global economy by 2026.
The majority of survey respondents expect economic growth between 6-6.9 per cent in FY 2025-26, while 22 per cent anticipate a stronger growth rate of 7-7.9 per cent.
Significant growth drivers include ease of doing business reforms (68 per cent), inflation and monetary policy management (57 per cent), increase in FDI and strong trade agreements with major global economies (54 per cent), government incentives and subsidies to boost domestic consumption (51 per cent), and technological advancements (49 per cent).
Among corporate tax priorities, the Budget should streamline GST compliance procedures (44 per cent), reduce corporate tax rates for small and medium enterprises (30 per cent), enhanced measures for resolving tax disputes (15 per cent), introduction of more tax incentives for startups (14 per cent), and introduction of new tax incentives for research and development (13 per cent).
The survey highlighted key industries that will be the growth drivers, including agriculture and food processing, automotive, consumer and retail, healthcare and pharmaceuticals, technology, financial services, real estate, and energy and renewables.
The agriculture sector is a cornerstone of India’s economic growth. The previous Union Budget 2024-25, with a Rs 1.52 lakh crore allocation towards the sector, made significant strides in productivity, research, and resilience.
“To establish India as a global leader in agriculture, the upcoming budget will need to focus on several key areas, such as streamlining exports, improving supply chains, expanding access to credit, empowering women in agriculture and promoting sustainable practices,” said the report.
The Union Budget 2025 presents an opportunity to implement transformative reforms across industries. Strengthening fiscal policies, incentivising innovation, and improving regulatory efficiency will be crucial for sustained economic growth, the report emphasised.
Business
India’s Oil Lifeline Through Strait Of Hormuz Faces Uncertainty Despite Iran’s Assurances

New Delhi: Iranian Ambassador Mohammad Fathali’s words of reassurance that India will receive safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz will certainly gladden Indian hearts. The Iranian envoy to India told reporters that “changes would be seen in two-three hours,” suggesting that ships carrying Indian oil and Indian nationals may be safe while going through the Strait.
The reality isn’t that simple. India is dependent on 40% of its oil from the Strait of Hormuz, but there’s a catch. Energy experts say that Indian ships do not pick up oil from the Strait but have so far outsourced it to foreign tankers.
The main reason for this is insurance. Due to the Strait being so geopolitically sensitive, insurance costs are very high, and therefore Indian Oil Corporation (IOC) or BPCL prefer to outsource it.
There is another advantage to outsourcing the oil to foreign tankers – Indian oil companies do not have to own the fleet.
India could attach its flag to the foreign tankers, but naval regulations state that there must be a minimum number of Indian crew members on the ship, along with other regulations that have to be met before the Indian flag can be put on the tanker.
If there is no flag, there is no way that an Iranian ship can detect if a ship is carrying Indian oil or not.
Coming to Indian crew members, India is one of the top three nations in the world that supplies sailors.
Government data shows the number of Indian sailors has grown from around 1.25 lakh a decade ago to more than three lakh now. Indians now comprise around 10–12% of the total number of sailors in the world.
The problem for India is that most of the Indian crew members work on oil tankers, containers, LPG vessels and bulk carriers on foreign tankers and are at great risk when naval warfare takes place.
The Ministry of Ports, Shipping and Waterways has confirmed three Indian seafarers died, with four others injured in maritime attacks around the strait amid escalating hostilities. Naval experts believe the figure is likely to be much higher.
Despite these problems, some level of coordination seems to be taking place between India and Iran.
Agency reports said that on Thursday, the Suezmax tanker Shenlong, carrying Saudi crude, arrived at a port in Mumbai after transiting the strait. The Liberia-flagged vessel was the first crude carrier to reach India from the Middle East since the war between Iran and the United States and Israel broke out in late February, according to LSEG data.
The customer is state-run Bharat Petroleum Corp.
But the lack of a formal agreement between the Iranian Navy and tankers carrying Indian oil suggests the Iranian envoy’s assurance does not guarantee a safe maritime corridor.
An MEA official says talks are on to make this happen, but so far Iran has not provided such assurance. In turn, Iran wants assurance from New Delhi that it will provide a joint statement from BRICS nations condemning the US-Israeli aggression.
India currently holds the chairmanship of BRICS, and so far there has been no joint statement. This has not been viewed well by Iran, which is a full member of BRICS.
Business
Mumbai: Police Bust LPG Black-Marketing Racket In Worli; 64 Cylinders Seized Amid Panic Booking Surge

Mumbai: Authorities in Mumbai have busted a gas cylinder black-marketing racket in Worli and seized several LPG cylinders during an operation, Mumbai Police said. The action comes at a time when concerns over cooking gas availability have triggered panic bookings in parts of the country.
During the raid, officials recovered six filled and 58 empty HP Gas cylinders along with several other cylinders from the location. Police said the stock was being illegally stored inside residential premises. The seized cylinders have been handed over to Worli Police Station, where further legal action is being initiated against those involved in the illegal storage and distribution.
Officials stated that storing and selling LPG cylinders outside authorised channels poses serious safety risks, especially in residential areas where such stockpiling can lead to fire hazards and other emergencies. Authorities are now investigating the source of the cylinders and the possible distribution network linked to the racket.
The development comes amid heightened demand for LPG across the country, the Union government on Friday said it is ensuring uninterrupted supply of cooking gas to households despite a surge in panic bookings. Consumers have been advised not to rush to dealerships or place unnecessary refill orders.
At a media briefing on Friday, Sujata Sharma, Joint Secretary in the Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas, said fears of a shortage have led to a sudden spike in LPG cylinder bookings in recent days, even though supplies remain adequate across the country. She emphasised that LPG distributors currently have sufficient stocks and that supply chains are functioning normally.
The government has also advised nearly 60 lakh households located near piped natural gas (PNG) networks to consider switching to piped connections for convenience. Sharma warned that strict action will be taken against hoarders and black marketers attempting to exploit the crisis triggered by the ongoing conflict in West Asia.
While LPG supply to households, hospitals, and educational institutions continues to be prioritised, supplies to commercial establishments such as hotels and restaurants have been curtailed due to disruptions in energy sourcing linked to the geopolitical tensions in the region.
To stabilise supply, the Centre has increased domestic production by 30 per cent since March 5 by diverting refinery streams to maximise cooking gas output. Additionally, around 20 per cent of commercial LPG supplies have been placed with state governments and Union Territories, allowing local administrations to decide priority allocation based on regional requirements.
Business
Sensex, Nifty post moderate losses over Middle East conflict

Mumbai, March 11: The Indian equity markets posted moderate losses in early trade on Wednesday over cautious sentiment amid the ongoing war between US-Israel and Iran, leading to the prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz.
As of 9.25 am, Sensex lost 109 points, or 0.14 per cent, to reach 78,096 and Nifty eased 26 points, or 0.11 per cent to reach 24,234.
Main broad-cap indices showed divergence with the benchmark indices, as the Nifty Midcap 100 gained 0.72 per cent, and the Nifty Smallcap 100 added 0.85 per cent.
All sectoral indices traded in green except Nifty FMCG, financial services and private banks. Private banks led the losses down 0.73 per cent. Nifty media, metal and consumer durables were among the top gainers, up 1.52 per cent, 1.58 per cent and 1.25 per cent, respectively.
Near-term resistance for Nifty is placed at 24370-24416 area, while strong support spans the 23700-24080 zone, analysts said.
Derivatives data from yesterday’s session showed that foreign investors and proprietary traders remained positive, while retail investors went bearish, they added.
Resistance for Bank Nifty is seen near 57,200–57,300 zone, while support is located in the 56,600–56,700 zone, market participants said.
Sectorally, auto, financials, and consumer-oriented stocks led the recovery in the previous session, while some pressure was seen in select IT and oil & gas counters. Broader markets also remained firm, with midcap and small-cap stocks outperforming the frontline indices, reflecting selective buying interest across sectors.
On Wednesday, markets remained unsettled over fading hopes for an early end to the US-Israeli war on Iran and stagflation concerns compounded by US President Donald Trump’s threat of retaliations following reports of Iran mining the Strait of Hormuz.
Oil prices which had earlier this week touched $120 a barrel, dropped below 90-mark over reports of a group of countries planning to tap emergency crude reserves to mitigate disruption caused by the conflict.
International Brent crude was down 0.44 per cent at $87.39 per barrel early on Wednesday.
In Asian markets, China’s Shanghai advanced 0.05 per cent, and Shenzhen added 0.85 per cent, Japan’s Nikkei moved up 2.48 per cent, and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index surged 0.33 per cent. South Korea’s Kospi gained 3.41 per cent.
The US markets ended mixed overnight as Nasdaq added 0.01 per cent. The S&P 500 lost 0.21 per cent, and the Dow Jones declined 0.07 per cent.
On March 10, foreign institutional investors (FIIs) net sold equities worth Rs 4,685 crore, while domestic institutional investors (DIIs) were net buyers of equities worth Rs 6,250 crore.
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