Business
RBI likely to go for steps to spur growth in February monetary policy review: Jefferies
Mumbai, Jan 29: The RBI’s monetary policy committee meeting scheduled for February is likely to spring some positive surprises with a growth-favoured approach, according to brokerage firm Jefferies.
Reserve Bank of India (RBI) policies can take a growth-supportive turn, especially with the government expected to take a tight fiscal stance on February 1, Jefferies said in a note.
The recent move by the central bank to provide liquidity is a positive indicator, the report said. It was referring to the RBI’s announcement this week that it would inject Rs 1.5 lakh crore liquidity into the banking system in the coming weeks till the end of February.
If the RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra-led committee takes a potentially dovish stance on liquidity or rates, the rupee may depreciate further, Jefferies observed in its note.
“Our cautious view on the budget is predicated on an expected slowdown in government capex.” But the stock corrections largely build in those worries, it said. A high base in revenues and the government’s firmness on fiscal consolidation will likely limit any significant spending growth, Jefferies said.
On the slowdown in economic growth, most of the reasons are temporary. The March quarter should be better with the significant underspending in eight months of fiscal 2025 expected to reverse from November 2024 to March 2025, the brokerage said.
Further, a potential improvement in liquidity and regulations can prompt some uptick in the months ahead, it added.
The pressures to increase expenditure on social welfare schemes are rising and there are some expectations of a hike in corporate taxes. If neither were to happen, the market may be relieved, Jeffries said.
The RBI had, in its monetary policy review on December 6, slashed the cash reserve ratio (CRR) for banks by 0.5 per cent to make more funds available for lending to spur economic growth but kept the key policy repo rate unchanged at 6.5 per cent with an eye on inflation.
The CRR was reduced from 4.5 per cent to 4 per cent. This was the first time since March 2020 that the CRR has been cut. The CRR is the proportion of deposits that banks have to set aside as idle cash in the system.
The CRR cut infused Rs 1.16 lakh crore into the banking system and was aimed to bring down market interest rates to spur growth.
The RBI on Monday announced that it would inject another Rs 1.10 lakh crore liquidity in the banking system through open market purchase auctions of Government securities and carrying out a variable rate repo auction. Besides, a $5 billion dollar-rupee swap auction would also be held to provide more liquidity in the system. These measures are aimed at making more funds available to banks for giving out loans and bringing down the interest rate as part of the measures to spur growth in an economy that has been slowing economy amid geopolitical uncertainties.
Business
FM Sitharaman meets JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon in Mumbai

Mumbai, Sep 21: Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman on Monday met Jamie Dimon, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of JPMorgan Chase & Co., during the 11th edition of the JPMorgan India Investor Conference in Mumbai.
According to the Finance Ministry, Dimon interacted with the finance minister on the sidelines of the conference, which brought together investors, policymakers and corporate leaders to discuss India’s economic outlook and investment opportunities.
FM Sitharaman also addressed participants at the event and took part in a fireside chat with Sajjid Chinoy, Head of Asia Economics at JPMorgan.
“Jamie Dimon, Chairman and CEO of JPMorgan Chase & Co., interacts with FM Sitharaman during the J.P. Morgan India Investor Conference in Mumbai, Maharashtra,” the finance minister posted on social media platform X.
” FM Sitharaman addressed the gathering and participated in a fireside chat with Sajjid Chinoy, Head of Asia Economics at JPMorgan, during the 11th edition of the J.P. Morgan India Investor Conference in Mumbai, Maharashtra,” the finance minister added.
The meeting comes as JPMorgan said in a recent report that a combination of tax reforms and regulatory measures had enhanced the attractiveness of equities for domestic investors, helping sustain robust inflows despite relatively muted market returns over the past two years.
The brokerage noted that changes in the taxation framework for long-term capital gains, debt mutual funds and certain insurance products have improved the relative appeal of equities.
It said these measures, alongside rising participation through systematic investment plans (SIPs), are supporting a continued shift of household savings toward financial assets.
According to JPMorgan, domestic investors have increasingly emerged as a stabilising force for Indian markets, offsetting bouts of volatility triggered by foreign portfolio investor outflows and global uncertainties.
The report highlighted that retail participation has remained resilient even during periods of modest benchmark returns, signalling a structural change in investment behaviour.
Business
Misuse of SIMs may attract up to 3 years’ imprisonment and Rs 50 lakh fine, warns DoT

New Delhi, Sep 21: The Department of Telecommunications (DoT) on Monday said that it has warned citizens against the misuse of SIM cards and telecom identifiers, stating that violations under the Telecommunications Act, 2023 can attract imprisonment of up to three years and a fine of up to Rs 50 lakh.
The advisory follows the detection of a fraudulent SIM issuance racket in Chhattisgarh, where mobile connections were activated using citizens’ identity documents without their knowledge or consent.
According to the DoT, a Point of Sale (PoS) agent in the state was found to have activated 25 SIM cards using identity documents belonging to citizens without their knowledge or consent.
Acting swiftly, the Department, in coordination with telecom service providers, blacklisted the PoS agent, permanently preventing the outlet from issuing mobile connections in the future.
“Recent cybercrime investigations have brought to light some instances in which a Point of Sale (PoS) agent in Chhattisgarh was found to have illegally activated 25 mobile connections (SIMs) using citizens’ identification documents without their knowledge or consent,” the Ministry of Communications said.
The 25 mobile numbers were subsequently examined through the Digital Intelligence Platform (DIP), a system developed by the DoT to detect suspicious telecom activity. Mobile connections identified as potentially fraudulent were subjected to re-verification, and those that failed the verification process were deactivated.
Issuing a public advisory, the DoT reiterated that fraudulent issuance of SIM cards, misuse of telecom identifiers and tampering with International Mobile Equipment Identity (IMEI) numbers are serious offences under the Telecommunications Act, 2023.
The Department stated that such violations can lead to imprisonment of up to three years along with financial penalties that may extend to Rs 50 lakh.
The advisory comes amid growing concerns over the misuse of telecom resources in cybercrime, digital fraud and other unlawful activities.
With mobile connectivity and digital services expanding rapidly across the country, authorities have emphasised the need for strict compliance with telecom regulations to protect citizens and maintain the integrity of communication networks.
Business
Look forward to meet EAM Jaishankar, discuss conclusion of trade pact: Canada Anita Anand

New Delhi, Sep 21: Canadian Minister of Foreign Affairs, Anita Anand, has said that she looks forward to meeting External Affairs Minister (EAM) S Jaishankar this week and discuss the Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA).
“The Canada-India bilateral relationship is growing and the conclusion of the CEPA before the end of the year is key to our overall strategy. I look forward to speaking with @DrSJaishankar this week during @UN high level week,” Anand posted on X.
Last week, EAM Jaishankar spoke with his Canadian counterpart, Anita Anand, holding discussions on bilateral cooperation as well as the situation in Ukraine. “Good to speak with FM Anita Anand of Canada this evening, on our bilateral cooperation as well as on the Ukraine situation,” EAM Jaishankar stated on X.
Meanwhile, Commerce and Industry Minister Piyush Goyal had a productive meeting here last week with Maninder Sidhu, Minister of International Trade, Canada, here on advancing the CEPA.
“I just finished round four of trade negotiations with my team in India. These negotiations require sustained, face-to-face cooperation, and I look forward to meeting with Minister Goyal again in the coming weeks as we continue to build momentum toward a CEPA agreement,” Sidhu posted on X.
Canada and India had $30.8 billion in two-way trade in 2024. Our goal is to more than double that to $70 billion by 2030.
“From agriculture and agri-food to energy, critical minerals, AI and tech, aerospace, and defence, a CEPA can open more doors for Canadian businesses in one of the world’s largest and fastest-growing markets,” said Sidhu.
Both sides reaffirmed “our leadership’s commitment to expedite negotiations and conclude CEPA at the earliest, unlocking new opportunities across trade in goods, services, and investment, among others,” Goyal posted on X.
The minister further stated he is confident that an early conclusion of India-Canada CEPA will help realise our shared vision of significantly increasing bilateral trade and deepening the India-Canada economic partnership for mutual benefit.
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