Business
Re-opening of offices, institutions to boost two-wheeler sales
Re-opening of offices as well as educational institutions is expected to give a boost to two-wheeler sales volume on a sequential basis.
Accordingly, the sequential improvement is expected to sustain in February 2022, supported by a gradual easing of the supply-side constraints, re-opening of offices and colleges, as well as relaxation in travel restrictions and the measures announced in the FY23 Union Budget.
However, on a year-on-year (YoY) basis, the segments’ sales were dented in January 2022 due to lower rural demand, staggered state-wise restrictions amid the third wave of Covid-19 and production constraints in the premium two-wheeler segment.
“While domestic ‘2W’ sales volume continued to be 21 per cent YoY lower in January 2022, it grew 12 per cent MoM sequentially after declining for three consecutive months, with growth noted across scooters and motorcycles,” India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) said.
“Scooters outperformed motorcycles in January 2022. mainly due to a lower base in December 2021.”
Besides, it pointed out that limited impact of the third covid wave on economic activities and relatively relaxed restrictions compared to prior waves also supported the MoM growth.
“Dealership inventory decreased further to 25-30 days in January 2022. A2W export sales grew 3 per cent MoM and declined 3 per cent YoY in January 2022.”
“Ind-Ra expects the sequential improvement to sustain in February 2022, supported by a gradual easing of the supply-side constraints, re-opening of offices or colleges, relaxation in travel restrictions coupled with a likely improvement in rural offtake due to better crop production and the measures announced in the FY23 Union Budget.”
Business
Nifty, Sensex post modest weekly gains as crude oil prices dip

Mumbai, June 27: The Indian equity benchmarks posted a third consecutive week of gains, over sharp correction in crude oil prices to pre‑Iran war levels and improved traffic at the Strait of Hormuz.
Nifty added 0.18 per cent during the week and edged up 0.14 per cent on the last trading day to reach 24,056. At close, Sensex was up 109 points or 0.14 per cent at 77,100. It added 0.39 per cent during the week.
The domestic markets navigated a week of mixed signals with notable resilience, even as broader indices, especially mid-caps, faced modest selling pressure.
Easing geopolitical risks amid progressing US–Iran talks, and optimism around an India–US trade deal, helped fuel domestic investor sentiment.
However, expectations of rising inflationary pressure and a potential dampening in rural demand began to surface, driven by concerns over uneven monsoon distribution, an analyst said.
Sustained softness in crude prices remains a clear macro positive in the near term along with improving inflation, fiscal, and current account dynamics collectively providing the RBI with greater policy flexibility.
On the sectoral front, pharma and healthcare stocks outperformed, while private banks advanced following the RBI’s clarity on the FCNR(B) deposit swap scheme.
Metals were major loser due to falling commodity prices, while consumer durables lagged amid demand concerns.
Broad market indices showed divergence with benchmark indices, as Nifty Midcap100 lost 1.15 per cent, while Nifty Smallcap100 edged up just 0.03 per cent during the week.
Immediate resistance levels for Nifty are placed at 24,400 and 24,500, and support is seen at 23,900 and 23,800.
Immediate support for Bank Nifty is placed in the 57,500–57,400 zone, while resistance is seen at 58,900 and 59,000.
As corporate earnings reports are expected in the coming weeks, management commentary on demand visibility, margins, and order flows will serve as key indicators for market direction.
“A prudent yet optimistic stance is warranted, with a focus on selectively building positions in fundamentally strong companies that have seen recent corrections without any meaningful deterioration in their underlying outlook,” a market participant said.
Investors remain keen on US PCE data that will shape global, along with non-farm payrolls and unemployment figures, which will influence Fed rate expectations and overall risk appetite.
Domestically, industrial production data and June PMI readings will provide early signals ahead of Q1 earnings season, according to analysts.
Business
Crude oil prices fall up to 2 pc, head for steep weekly losses

New Delhi, June 26: Global crude oil prices fell sharply on Friday and were on track to post steep weekly losses as easing supply concerns in the Strait of Hormuz outweighed fresh geopolitical tensions following an attack on a cargo vessel near Oman.
International oil benchmark Brent crude futures fell $1.51 or 2 per cent, to $73.75 a barrel in early trade.
Similarly, US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude declined $1.50 or about 2 per cent to $70.42 a barrel.
Both benchmark contracts had gained more than 2 per cent in the previous session after a cargo vessel was struck by an unidentified projectile near Oman, prompting the United Nations’ shipping agency to suspend its voluntary evacuation programme.
According to media reports, two US officials said Iran had fired on the cargo vessel as it attempted to transit the Strait of Hormuz. Iranian authorities, however, said the security of ships sailing outside designated Hormuz routes could not be guaranteed.
Despite the latest security concerns, Brent and WTI were both headed for weekly losses of nearly 7 per cent as fears of supply disruptions eased following an improvement in tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz.
Crude shipments through the strategic waterway rose this week to their highest level since the US-Israel conflict with Iran began in February, after a ceasefire helped reopen the route. However, overall vessel traffic remained well below the pre-conflict average of around 125 ships per day.
The Indian basket of crude oil — a weighted average of Brent Dated, Oman and Dubai crude grades imported by domestic refiners — averaged $86.31 per barrel in June so far, after surging during the West Asia conflict. The basket had averaged $106.23 per barrel in May and $114.48 per barrel in April.
Global benchmark Brent crude, which had touched around $120 per barrel at the peak of the conflict, is now hovering near $74 per barrel.
Business
Stock markets remain closed on account of Muharram

Mumbai, June 26: Indian stock exchanges — the National Stock Exchange (NSE) and the BSE — remained closed on Friday on account of Muharram, with trading suspended across all equity market segments, including equity derivatives, currency derivatives, securities lending and borrowing (SLB).
Meanwhile, in the commodity segment, the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) remained closed during the morning session from 9 am to 5 pm.
Trading on the commodity exchange will resume in the evening session from 5 pm.
In addition, the National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange (NCDEX) — which primarily deals in agricultural commodities — remained closed for the entire day.
Following Friday’s Muharram holiday, the stock market will remain open for nearly three months before the next scheduled holiday on September 14 for Ganesh Chaturthi.
Thereafter, the bourses will remain closed on October 2 (Mahatma Gandhi Jayanti), October 20 (Dussehra), November 10 (Diwali-Balipratipada), November 24 (Prakash Gurpurb Sri Guru Nanak Dev) and December 25 (Christmas).
In the last session, the equity benchmarks ended their two-session winning streak on a positive note despite paring most of their intraday gains due to profit booking in IT and metal stocks.
Sensex settled over 100 points or 0.14 per cent higher at 77,100.47 after touching an intraday high of 77,803.18.
Similarly, Nifty ended higher, with an increase of 34.35 points or 0.14 per cent at 24,056.
Among Nifty constituents, Hindalco Industries, Power Grid, Bharti Airtel, ONGC, Infosys, NTPC, BEL, HCL Tech, HDFC Life, Asian Paints, Trent, Bajaj Finance, Bajaj Finserv, Tata Steel and Titan were top losers.
Moreover, the broader markets underperformed, with Nifty Midcap 100 and Nifty Smallcap 100 indices declining 0.5 per cent each.
As the holiday falls on a Friday, market participants will enjoy a three-day weekend, with trading set to resume on Monday, June 29.
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