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Monsoon

Premature to attribute extreme heatwave in India, Pak solely to climate change: WMO

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 After multiple scientists claimed that the current spell of heatwaves in India and Pakistan are due to climate change, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) said it would be premature to attribute it solely to climate change.

The WMO also appreciated warning systems and heat action plans that helped save lives.

In a statement issued on Friday night, the WMO said: “It is premature to attribute the extreme heat in India and Pakistan solely to climate change. However, it is consistent with what we expect in a changing climate. Heatwaves are more frequent and more intense and now start earlier than it did in the past.

“India, especially the northwest, has been witnessing a third heatwave since March with the current, third spell sending mercury soaring to more than 45 degrees Celsius across dozens of states of India, including the northwestern Himalayan states too.

“Similar temperatures have been seen in Pakistan. The Pakistan Meteorological Department said that daytime temperatures are likely to be between 5 degrees Celsius and 8 degrees Celsius above normal in large swathes of the country.

The agency warned that in the mountainous regions of Gilgit-Baltistan and Khyber Pakhtunkwa, the unusual heat would enhance the melting of snow and ice and might trigger glacial lake outburst floods or flash floods in vulnerable areas,

“Air quality has deteriorated, and large swathes of land are at risk of extreme fire danger.”

India recorded its warmest March on record while Pakistan recorded its highest March temperature in the past 60 years, with a number of stations breaking March records, the WMO said.

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change in its Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) has said that heat waves and humid heat stress will be more intense and frequent in South Asia in this century.

The WMO, endorsing India’s Ministry of Earth Sciences’ publication on climate change in India that has a whole chapter on temperature change, said: “The frequency of warm extremes over India has increased during 1951-2015, with accelerated warming trends during the recent 30 year period 1986-2015. Significant warming is observed for the warmest day, warmest night and coldest night since 1986.”

Through its statement, the WMO also reminded the need for a multi-hazard early warning system that it has promised to ensure for all in the next five years.

“Heatwaves have multiple and cascading impacts not just on human health, but also on ecosystems, agriculture, water and energy supplies and key sectors of the economy. The risks to society underline why the WMO is committed to ensuring that multi-hazard early warning services reach the most vulnerable,” it said.

Stating that both India and Pakistan have successful heat-health early warning systems and action plans, including those specially tailored for urban areas, the WMO said: “Heat Action Plans reduce heat mortality and lessen the social impacts of extreme heat, including lost work productivity. Important lessons have been learnt from the past and these are now being shared among all partners of the WMO co-sponsored Global Heat Health Information Network (GHHIN) to enhance capacity in the hard hit region.

“The South Asia Heat Health Information Network, supported by GHHIN, is working to share lessons and raise capacity across the South Asia region.”

Monsoon

Weather dept predicts heavy rains in Nilgiris, Ghats in Coimbatore, southern districts of TN

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Chennai, May 31: The Regional Meteorological Centre (RMC) has predicted heavy rains in Nilgiris, Ghat areas of Coimbatore and southern districts of Tamil Nadu including Theni, Tenkasi, Kanniyakumari, and Tirunelveli.

These regions, have been witnessing heavy rainfall over the past week due to the orographic effect, which enhances precipitation.

However following a prolonged and intense wet spell that brought heavy and unprecedented rainfall across parts of Tamil Nadu, particularly in the Nilgiris and the Western Ghats, the southwest monsoon is expected to take a significant break starting June 1.

According to the RMC, this lull in monsoon activity is likely to last for at least 10 days.

The shift in weather conditions is attributed to the weakening of the weather system over the Bay of Bengal, which has significantly reduced the intensity of rainfall across the state.

With the system losing steam, meteorologists expect drier conditions to prevail over most parts of Tamil Nadu in the coming days.

In the past 24 hours, Chinnakalar in Coimbatore district recorded the highest rainfall at 13 cm, followed closely by Nalumukku and Oothu in Tirunelveli district, and Valparai in Coimbatore, each registering 12 cm of rain.

Meanwhile, in the northern parts of the state, rainfall was more subdued.

Tiruttani recorded 23 mm of rain till 7:30 p.m. on Friday. Chennai, too, experienced moderate showers with Nungambakkam receiving 25 mm and Meenambakkam 19.5 mm of rainfall.

The recent rainfall has brought much-needed respite to several parched regions, replenishing water bodies and boosting agricultural prospects.

However, authorities have advised caution in the hilly areas due to the risk of landslides and waterlogging.

With the monsoon likely to pause for over a week, weather experts urge the public to use this break to prepare for the next active phase, which is expected to resume mid-June.

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Monsoon

Maharashtra Assembly Elections 2024: Shiv Sena-UBT To Contest Only 1 Of 21 Seats In Pune; NCP Secures 13, Congress 7

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Pune: The impression created ahead of the assembly poll season by the Shiv Sena (UBT’s) high-profile spokesperson Sanjay Raut that his party would contest at least three, if not five seats, in Pune city and several in Pune district, has gone bust.

There is utter disappointment among the Shiv Sena (UBT) cadres in the Pune district, as it has transpired that the party has been left with just one seat in all of the Pune district which has 21 seats; NCP (Sharad Pawar) has kept 13 seats in Pune for itself while seven seats will be contested by the Congress party.

Disappointment bordering on frustration is now evident among the Shiv Sena (UBT) cadres in Pune. The fallout of this will likely be defection in the coming days. Leaders and activists from Uddhav Thackseray’s party have been vocal during Sanjay Raut’s visit to Pune and on other occasions. Anticipating that their party could get three tickets in the MVA seat-share in Pune city, they sounded upbeat; however, the excitement was short-lived.

Statement Of Shiv Sena-UBT Leader Sanjay Raut

“We have grown in Pune, since the late 1980s. We now have the capacity to contest all eight seats in Pune city, as we have the force on the ground to do so but because we have alliance partners in the MVA, we will leave some seats for them. We will contest at least three city seats if not five of the eight and many more in rural parts of the district,” party MP Sanjay Raut had said at a rally and at a media conference in Pune just a month ago.

This encouraged leaders like former Hadapsar MLA Mahadev Babar and a fresh aspirant from Kothrud, Pruthviraj Sutar, to start campaigning and put up posters and hoardings in their constituencies.

“Both Babar and Sutar visited Uddhav Thackeray in Mumbai and were made to wait for hours before they got a hearing for less than five minutes. Both were disappointed about their meeting with our leader and they have not been given a party ticket,” said an insider.

About The Lone Seat

Now, it has transpired that Shiv Sena (UBT) has been given just the lone Kothrud constituency seat, which is considered a BJP stronghold. In the 2019 polls Congress, Sharad Pawar’s NCP, and Raj Thackeray’s MNS had jointly fielded candidate Kishore Shinde in Kothrud, but he lost to BJP’s Chandrakant Patil. Shiv Sena (UBT) has decided to field Chandrakant Mokate as their candidate in Kothrud. Though the 2024 election is likely to be close, it is generally believed that the Kothrud seat may go to the BJP, as the MVA does not seem to be fully united in this constituency and does not have a formidable candidate. In such a case, it looks like Uddhav Thackeray’s party will have virtually no presence in the entire Pune city and district after the results are out.

Sharad Pawar’s NCP, which always cultivated Pune as its bastion, has not left any space for Uddhav Thackeray’s party in the district. This unexpected windfall has net Congress the Colaba seat, which was previously being eyed by Shiv Sena (UBT), to take on Speaker Rahul Narvekar, whose pro-BJP verdict had caused much din. In behind-the-scenes maneuvering, the Congress has swapped Kolhapur’s candidate with Madhurima Raje and introduced Hira Dewasi against Narvekar in Colaba, signaling the party’s subtle exercise of clout. With 103 seats allocated to the Congress, only Borivali and Mulund remain undecided in Mumbai.

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Maharashtra

Mumbai Rains Latest Update: Trains Run Late, Andheri Subway Closed As Heavy Showers Lash City And Suburbs.

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Heavy rains continued to lash Mumbai on Thursday (July 25). Trains were running late on Central, Western and harbour lines of Mumbai locals. However, by 9 am at least, there was no stoppage of services. Mumbaikars venturing out or even going to office may need to take a rain check as it continued to rain heavily through the morning.

India Meteorological Department (IMD) has predicted that Mumbai city and suburbs will witness moderate to heavy rainfall and even very rainfall at isolated places. The department has said that winds of 50-60 kmph are very likely. The city and suburbs are unlikely to get a respite later as heavy rains are expected in next 48 hours. On Thursday, the temperatures are likely to be in the range of 24 degrees Celsius to 29 degrees Celsius.

Andheri Subway has been closed for traffic.

Mumbai rains: When is the high tide?

The Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation (BMC) reported that in 24 hours preceding 8 am on Thursday, the city witnessed 44 mm rainfall while eastern and western suburbs had rainfall of 90 and 89 mm respectively. The high tide is expected at 2:51 pm (4.64 metres).

Mulund received more than 200 mm of rain in last 24 hours, said BMC.

Western Railway has said from its official X handle that all trains are running normally.

Central Railway did not make any official announcement from its X handle early in the morning.

Although the railways were saying that trains were running normally, social media chatter and conversations on popular train schedule apps suggested that not everything was well.

Several social media handle that track rains in Mumbai are predicting continuation of heavy rains.

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