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PM Modi’s popularity secured BJP’s win in Maharashtra, Haryana; Rahul’s Constitutional narrative failed: Survey

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New Delhi, Dec 20: The BJP demolished the Congress and other Opposition parties in the Maharashtra and Haryana Assembly elections.

The party romped to victory in both states and formed the governments there recently.

The Matrize Survey has come up with some insights into what led to the BJP’s significant triumph in these states, despite the party’s relatively lower performance in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections.

The survey has highlighted several factors, including the influence of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, the Congress-led Opposition’s failure to pose any challenge to the BJP effectively.

The agency has also spotlighted shifts in voter sentiment between the two elections.

The Congress’ bid to capitalise on the narrative of ‘constitutional changes’, also failed to make any impact in the Assembly elections.

The survey was carried out between November 25, 2024 and December 14, 2024 with a sample size of 76,830 in Maharashtra and 53,647 in Haryana.

Key findings from the Matrize Survey

1. Enduring popularity of PM Modi

Despite the BJP winning only 240 seats in the Lok Sabha elections this year, PM Modi continued to enjoy massive popularity among voters in both Maharashtra and Haryana, says the survey. His image as a strong and influential leader remained intact. This is a very important finding, as the survey reveals that voters in both states maintained an unwavering trust in PM Modi, which played a pivotal role in the Assembly election outcomes. Around 55 per cent of voters surveyed in Maharashtra found a jump in PM Modi’s popularity. Similarly, 53 per cent of Haryana voters surveyed saw growth in PM Modi’s charisma.

2. Jolt to Congress’ narrative on the Constitution

One of the most significant factors identified in the Matrize Survey was the setback to the Congress’ narrative which its leader Rahul Gandhi spun during the Lok Sabha elections. The Congress had built a narrative that the Modi government intended to change the Constitution. This claim seemed to have garnered some traction initially during the parliamentary elections. However, it failed to create any impact during the Assembly elections in Maharashtra and Haryana. In both states, the Congress’ attempts to push issues such as constitutional changes, farm laws and wrestlers’ ‘problems’ were largely ineffective. Voters did not view these issues as significant during the Assembly elections, contributing to a shift in support towards the BJP.

3. Voter perception of Congress leadership

Another important finding of the survey is major lack of trust in Congress MP Rahul Gandhi, who was seen as the face of the Opposition, in Maharashtra and Haryana. His failure to present a credible alternative to PM Modi also led to the poor show by the Opposition. Voters expressed doubts about the Congress’ leadership, with Rahul Gandhi being perceived as disconnected from ground realities, especially in comparison to PM Modi’s strong, decisive image. This factor played a significant role in BJP’s commanding victory in these states.

4. Shift in voter sentiment between Lok Sabha and Assembly elections

This is also suggested that many voters in Maharashtra and Haryana, who made the mistake of not voting for the BJP during the Lok Sabha elections, corrected their decision in the Assembly polls. A key reason behind this shift was the growing confidence in PM Modi’s leadership and the central government’s actions, which voters felt contributed positively to their lives. The Opposition’s inability to offer a coherent and convincing alternative led to a clear preference for the BJP in the state elections.

5. BJP’s strategic messaging and leadership

The Matrize Survey also highlighted the powerful impact of BJP’s messaging during the Assembly elections. The slogan “Ek Hain to Safe Hain (When united, we are safe)” found approval of voters, especially in Maharashtra and Haryana. This narrative emphasised stability, national security, and economic growth under PM Modi’s leadership, positioning BJP as the safer choice. On the other hand, the Congress’ divisive rhetoric and internal leadership struggles only served to alienate voters. The failure to challenge BJP’s narrative effectively was evident, especially given the public’s disenchantment with the Congress’ internal factionalism.

6. Local leadership and organisational factors

In Haryana, the leadership change from Chief Minister Manohar Lal Khattar to a new set of faces also contributed to the BJP’s success. The survey found that the switch in leadership helped BJP regain trust, with 44 per cent of respondents acknowledging that the leadership change had a significant positive impact. Moreover, the presence of strong local BJP leaders and a well-organised campaign helped the party build a solid base, further ensuring its victory.

7. The role of government schemes and local support,

The BJP’s focus on local issues and welfare schemes also played a crucial role in obtaining voter support. In both states, the BJP government’s initiatives, particularly in the fields of agriculture, infrastructure, and rural development, had a positive effect. These schemes impressed the voters, who felt they had benefited from government policies.

With all these details in view, the Matrize Survey has given a clear picture of why BJP won the Assembly elections in Maharashtra and Haryana.

Several interlinked factors contributed to this triumph: The enduring popularity of PM Modi and the continued trust in his leadership, a significant setback to the Opposition’s narrative, particularly the Congress’ attempt to capitalise on constitutional changes, which failed to make any impact in the Assembly elections, voter correction of their previous Lok Sabha mistake, especially in light of the BJP’s successful governance and message of stability, and the BJP’s effective use of leadership changes, messaging, and welfare schemes to consolidate support.

Crime

Cab driver attempts to sexually assault woman in Hyderabad

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Hyderabad, Sep 28: A cab driver allegedly attempted to sexually assault a woman near Shamshabad on the outskirts of Hyderabad and robbed her of Rs 60,000, officials said on Monday.

The incident occurred near the site of the 2019 Disha case on Friday (September 26) night but came to light on Monday. The 38-year-old woman lodged a complaint with Rajiv Gandhi International Airport (RGIA) Police Station. Police later registered an FIR.

The complainant, a resident of Devarkonda in Nalgonda district, stated that she boarded a taxi at Jadcherla around 6 p.m. on September 26 to come to Hyderabad. She was carrying Rs 60,000 in cash.

On reaching Shamshabad, the driver asked her to pay an extra Rs 50 to go to Gachibowli, to which she agreed. The FIR states that after crossing the Tondupally toll gate, the driver stopped the car at a medical shop on the ORR service road to buy medicines.

Around 8:30 p.m., he again stopped the vehicle near a deserted place beside the Kothwalguda service road and allegedly tried to molest her. When she raised an alarm and got down from the vehicle, the driver snatched the bag containing the cash and sped away.

Based on the complaint received the same night, police registered a case under Sections 74, 318(4), 303(2) of BNS and took up the investigation. It was near Tondupally toll gate that a 27-year-old woman veterinarian was gang raped and murdered on the night of November 27, 2019.

The charred body of Disha (as the victim is referred to by the investigators) was found at Chatanpally near Shadnagar the next day. The horrific incident had triggered huge public outrage and grabbed the national headlines.

Four accused arrested in the case were gunned down by police in an alleged encounter on December 6, 2019. According to police, the accused tried to snatch weapons from police while they were taken to Chatanpally as part of the investigation. Police personnel escorting them opened fire, killing all the accused.

The Supreme Court later appointed an inquiry commission to probe the alleged encounter.

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National News

Sanjay Raut alleges Rs 900 crore land scam in Konkan, trains guns at Maha ministers

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Mumbai, Sep 28: The Shiv Sena (UBT) Rajya Sabha MP Sanjay Raut on Monday launched a scathing attack on the Maharashtra government, alleging a massive Rs 900 crore illegal land scam in the Konkan region.

Addressing a press conference here, Raut claimed that prime agricultural and forest land in the Sindhudurg district has been illegally transferred to wealthy non-agricultural investors from Bengaluru, Delhi, and Hyderabad in violation of land protection laws.

Raut alleged that fertile agricultural land across the Vengurla, Sawantwadi, and Dodamarg talukas of Sindhudurg district has been systematically transferred to non-farmers. Under Maharashtra’s Prevention of Fragmentation and Consolidation of Holdings Act (Tukde Bandi Act), selling fragmented agricultural land to non-agriculturalists without statutory permissions is prohibited.

Raut implicated cabinet ministers and local MLAs representing the Konkan region, accusing them of partnering with “outsiders” and acting as real estate brokers.

“A prominent ‘Hindutva’ cabinet minister from Konkan is acting as an estate agent to hand over local farmers’ land to non-locals,” he charged, demanding to know the exact commission earned from the deals.

He, however, did not mention any names of either the Cabinet Minister or local MLAs.

Beyond the Rs 900 crore recorded on paper, substantial unregistered black money changed hands, he alleged, adding that illegal deforestation is underway across the acquired plots while buyers have already seized physical possession.

Raut highlighted that Nationalist Congress Party (SP) leader Jayant Patil had previously raised the issue, yet the transactions continued unabated. He accused the state Revenue Department of conducting a sham investigation over the past three years without taking enforcement action.

Issuing a direct challenge to Chief Minister Devendra Fadnavis, Raut demanded the immediate publication of all land transfer records in Sindhudurg.

He urged the government to disclose the names of all buyers, the key facilitators behind the deals, and the ministers or MLAs driving the operations.

Raut announced plans to lead a delegation of local Shiv Sena (UBT) workers to inspect the disputed sites in Sindhudurg and expose the extent of the environmental and legal violations on the ground.

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Bengaluru: Elderly man killed in elephant attack; forest department launches search

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Bengaluru, Sep 28: A 60-year-old man was killed in a suspected wild elephant attack near Anchepalya, off Mysuru Road in Bengaluru, on Monday.

The deceased has been identified as Nagaraj, a resident of Anchepalya. The incident occurred around 5.30 a.m. when Nagaraj had reportedly stepped out for his morning walk. He was rushed to a hospital for treatment, but succumbed to his injuries.

The incident was reported from behind Rajarajeshwari Medical College near Kengeri, an area under the Kaggalipura Forest zone. Forest officials suspect the wild elephant may have entered the area from the nearby Bannerghatta forest region.

The Forest Department has launched a search operation to trace the elephant, which disappeared after the incident. The presence of the elephant has triggered fear among local residents, with people reportedly hesitant to venture out of their homes.

Police and local residents suspect that Nagaraj was attacked by the elephant after two compound walls at the spot were found collapsed. CCTV footage from the area has also captured the movement of an elephant. The footage reportedly shows the animal moving at speed around 5.11 a.m.

Officials have also gathered information about another person who had gone out for a morning walk and reportedly escaped the elephant at the last moment.

Meanwhile, family members of the deceased and villagers staged a protest at RR Hospital, expressing outrage over the alleged negligence of the Forest Department. They demanded that the Forest Minister visit the spot and announce immediate compensation for Nagaraj’s family, which has four daughters.

“He went out for a walk at around 5.30 a.m. today. Someone came and informed us that Nagaraj had been attacked by a wild elephant, following which we rushed to the spot. We go for morning walks every day, but this tragedy happened today. The elephant had never come anywhere near our area,” family members said.

Deceased Nagaraj’s daughter, Shobha, stated, “We had also gone for a walk and were walking behind him. Someone known to us alerted us that an elephant was roaming in the area. We ran away and asked him where my father was. He told us that my father had gone ahead, and he then ran back out of fear. After some time, we went in search of our father.

I screamed, ‘Appa’, but he did not respond. By then, the elephant had attacked him. There was a compound wall, and there was no way for him to escape. It attacked him. We have been going for morning walks for the past three years, almost every day, and no such incident had taken place before.”

A case has been registered at Kumbalgodu Police Station, and further investigation is underway.

It can be recalled that a 33-year-old tourist from Chennai was killed at Karnataka’s Dubare Elephant Camp in Kodagu district when two captive elephants clashed during a river bath, causing one to fall on her. Following this and other wild elephant conflicts in the region, the state government banned tourist interaction and mandated strict new safety distances.

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