Business
Markets at make-or-break stage

It was a tough week for markets in India and the world. Interest rates were raised in the US on expected lines and the commentary post the meeting were not enough to soothe the nerves.
The week saw markets gain on two of the five trading sessions. The fall on Thursday followed by yet another fall on Friday, broke the camel’s back and markets will have to do a lot to change the current momentum.
BSESENSEX lost 843.86 points or 1.36 per cent to close at 61,337.81 points while NIFTY lost 227.60 points or 1.23 per cent to close at 18,269 points. The broader indices saw BSE100, BSE200 and BSE500 lose 1.32 per cent, 1.28 per cent and 1.15 per cent respectively. BSEMIDCAP was down 1.37 per cent while BSESMALLCAP lost 0.14 per cent. All the sectoral indices on BSE lost ground during the week.
The Indian Rupee was under pressure and lost 60 paisa or 0.73 per cent to close at Rs 82.87 to the US dollar. Dow Jones lost on three of the five sessions and gained on two. What is interesting to note is that it lost on the last three days consecutively after the FED raised interest rates. Dow Jones lost 556 points or 1.66 per cent to close at 32,920.46 points.
The FED raised interest rates by 50 basis points on expected lines and the current rate band is 4.25 per cent – 4.50 per cent. They have indicated that the rates are projected to rise by a further 75 basis points in the calendar year 2023.
In primary market news, there was one listing, three IPOs which opened and closed their subscription during the week and two IPOs which would be tapping the markets in the coming week.
Shares of Uniparts India Limited which had tapped the capital market with its offer for sale listed on Monday, the 12th of December. The listing price was Rs 575 against the issue price of Rs 577. Shares closed at the end of listing day at Rs 539.55, a loss of Rs 37.45 or 6.49 per cent. They recovered during the rest of the week and closed at Rs 570, a loss of Rs 7 or 1.21 per cent.
The offer for sale from Sula Vineyards Limited was subscribed 2.33 times overall. The QIB portion was subscribed 4.13 times, HNI 1.51 times and Retail portion 1.65 times. There were 2.65 lac applications in all. The price band of the issue which was open from Monday the 12th of December to Wednesday the 14th of December was Rs 340-357.
The second issue was from Abans Holding Limited which was subscribed 1.10 times overall. The QIB portion was subscribed 4.10 times, HNI portion was subscribed 1.48 times and Retail portion was subscribed 0.40 times. This issue had a different allocation with QIB portion at 10 per cent, HNI at 30 per cent and Retail at 60 per cent. There were 46,711 applications. The price band of the issue was Rs 256-270 and the issue was open from Monday, the 12th of December to Thursday, the 15th of December.
The Third issue was from Landmark Cars Limited which consisted of a fresh issue and an offer for sale in a price band of Rs 481-506. The issue was subscribed 3.22 times overall with QIB portion subscribed 9.17 times, HNI portion subscribed 1.38 times and Retail portion subscribed 0.61 times. There were 64,480 applications. The issue was open between Tuesday the 13th of December and Thursday the 15th of December.
The first issue to open in the week ahead is from KFIN Technologies Limited which is tapping the capital markets with its offer for sale of Rs 1,500 crore. The price band of the issue is Rs 347 – 368. The issue opens on Monday, the 19th of December, and closes on Friday, the 21st of December. The company KFIN is a technology driven financial services platform, providing comprehensive services and solutions to the capital markets ecosystem. The company began its operations in 1985 with an issuer solutions business. It added domestic mutual fund business solutions in 1995 and alternative and wealth management business solutions in 2010. In 2017 it launched its pension services business and international business solutions business in South East Asia. In 2018, General Atlantic bought out the company. Just recently in the current year 2022, the company bought Hexagram, a fund accounting system to add to the offerings and increase the wallet share of business.
The company has competition from CAMS in the mutual fund business and with Link Intime in the RTA business for the capital markets. While there are other players as well, this is a duopoly business in the two verticals mentioned. What is a key metric is the fact that more than 99 per cent is repeat or retained business which comes from the same set of clients. In other words, the stickiness of clients is very high. Gross margin is a more than healthy 60.19 per cent.
Coming to the financials of the company, revenues reported for the year ended March 22 were at Rs 639.50 crore and restated profit after tax was at Rs 148.55 crore. The breakup of revenue was 67.75 per cent from domestic mutual fund business and 13.38 per cent from issuer solutions business. The EPS on a fully diluted basis was Rs 9.36. The PE multiple at the price band is 36.76-38.77. The PE multiple for the competitor CAMS is almost similar at 39.37. NAV for KFIN is Rs 38.45 while it is Rs 132.43 for CAMS. Clearly the issue price in terms of PE is more or less similar in both cases while in terms of price to book, the same for CAMS is substantially higher compared to KFIN.
The past of KFIN has been a bit shady with the erstwhile promoter’s shareholding (around 12 per cent) being impounded and frozen by the ED. The company had reported losses in FY 21 and hence the issue is 75 per cent reserved for QIBs, 15 per cent for HNIs and 10 per cent for Retail. The issue is more than richly valued and finding immediate money on listing seems a tall order.
The second issue which opens on Tuesday, the 20th of December, and closes on Thursday, the 22nd December, is from Elin Electronics Limited. The issue consists of a fresh issue of Rs 175 crore and an offer for sale of Rs 300 crore. The price band of the issue is Rs 234-247. The company is an electronics manufacturing services company of end-to-end product solutions for major brands of lighting, fans and small kitchen appliances in India. It is also the largest fractional horsepower motor manufacturer in India. It is also a key player in the LED lighting and flashlight manufacturing business. It has marquee clients with whom the relationship is over many years and decades.
The company reported revenues of Rs 1,093.75 crore for the year ended March 22 which had grown from Rs 862.37 crore in the previous year. The profit after tax was Rs 39.14 crore in March 22 against Rs 34.85 crore. In the six months ended September 22, revenues have grown to Rs 577.16 crore and profit after tax to Rs 20.66 crore. The EPS for March 22 is Rs 9.59. At this price, the PE band is 24.40-25.76. The band looks attractive. There is one catch however. This business has lower EBITDA and Net margins because of the nature of the business. This company averages net margins of between 3.5-3.75 per cent. Going forward, there could be some improvement depending on the amount of business that they do on ODM (own design manufacture).
There is plenty of activity in the grey market in this share which gives ample opportunity for gains on listing. The share looks attractively priced for the medium term as well.
Coming to the markets in the week ahead, very clearly the momentum has broken and markets have a tough time ahead of them. They have to begin their upward journey in a day or two, failing which it would mean that the tops in the short term have been done and we would only see corrective up-moves if any. If markets do move up, then depending on the strength of the rally they may attempt to challenge the previous highs and attempt to cross 63,300 and 18,900 on the indices. Any move past these levels could see markets gain another 1-2 per cent from these levels but accompanied with huge volumes. If however they fail, there could be a slow and gradual slide of anywhere between 3-5 per cent over current levels.
As mentioned last week, we are at the stage that market direction unless accompanied with huge volumes would be incorrect and misleading. Direction of market whether up or down would have to be accompanied with volume. During the sharp fall last week on Thursday and Friday, that was not the case. There is hope left for a rally as yet.
The strategy would be to look for volume breakout in the markets. It would decide the trend. Santa Claus rally if it has to happen should begin in the coming week as time runs out in the year 2022. Trade cautiously as FII’s would look to take a short break before the New Year 2023 begins.
Trade cautiously and look for volume breakout.
(Arun Kejriwal is the founder of Kejriwal Research and Investment Services. The views expressed are personal)
National
IRCTC’s Chhatrapati Shivaji Maharaj heritage train tour receives overwhelming response

New Delhi, June 7: The Indian Railway Catering and Tourism Corporation (IRCTC), a Navratna company under the Ministry of Railways, Government of India, has received an overwhelming response to its newly-launched ‘Chhatrapati Shivaji Maharaj Circuit Train Tour.’
Scheduled to depart from Chhatrapati Shivaji Maharaj Terminus (CSMT), Mumbai, on June 9, the heritage tour is already fully booked. A total of 710 passengers have secured their spots across various classes, with 480 bookings in Economy (Sleeper Class), 190 in Comfort (3AC), and 40 in Superior (2AC).
This six-day train journey has been specially curated to showcase the glorious history and grand legacy of Chhatrapati Shivaji Maharaj.
The tour is the result of a collaborative effort between the Government of Maharashtra, Indian Railways, and IRCTC, aiming to provide travellers with an immersive experience that brings to life the heroic saga of the legendary Maratha ruler.
The train will cover historically significant sites such as Raigad Fort, Shivneri Fort, Pratapgad Fort, Panhala Fort, Lal Mahal, Kasba Ganpati Temple, and Shivsrushti, all closely associated with the key events and life of Chhatrapati Shivaji Maharaj.
The journey begins with the train departing from CSMT and heading toward Mangaon station on the Konkan Railway network, the nearest access point to Raigad Fort.
Raigad is the site of Shivaji Maharaj’s coronation and was his capital. After sightseeing, tourists will travel to Pune for an overnight hotel stay. On the second day, they will visit Lal Mahal, a red palace originally built by Shivaji’s father Shahaji Bhosale in 1630, and later rebuilt in 1984.
Tourists will also see the Kasba Ganpati Temple, believed to have been established by Shivaji’s mother Jijabai, and the historical theme park Shivsrushti, where Shivaji’s life story is presented through 3D visuals and interactive exhibits. Visitors will spend a second night in Pune.
On the third day, the tour continues to Shivneri Fort, Shivaji Maharaj’s birthplace located atop a hill near Junnar and will also visit the Bhimashankar Jyotirlinga Temple, one of the twelve Jyotirlingas in India.
After the visit, tourists return to Pune for overnight rest. On the fourth day, the train will proceed to Satara. From there, travellers will explore Pratapgad Fort, the historic site of the 1659 battle between Shivaji Maharaj and Afzal Khan of the Bijapur Sultanate.
After this visit, the group will leave for Kolhapur.
The final day of the tour begins with the train arriving at Chhatrapati Shahu Maharaj Terminus in Kolhapur.
Following this, there will be a tour of the iconic Panhala Fort, located in the Sahyadri Hills. This fort has deep historical connections with Shivaji Maharaj, who was held captive there for over 500 days before making a dramatic escape.
Known as the ‘Fort of Serpents’ due to its winding structure, Panhala is also famous for the legendary bravery of Baji Prabhu Deshpande, Shivaji’s general, during a crucial battle to retain control of the fort.
The tour package includes train travel, comfortable hotel accommodations, all vegetarian meals, transfers and sightseeing via air-conditioned buses, travel insurance, and the assistance of experienced tour escorts.
IRCTC has assured that all necessary arrangements have been made to ensure the safety and comfort of passengers while providing a culturally enriching and memorable journey.
National
Eid prayers across J&K pass off peacefully

Srinagar, June 7: Thousands of devout Muslims gathered across Jammu and Kashmir on Saturday to offer Eid al-Adha prayers. Peaceful congregations were also held in various cities and towns throughout the Union Territory.
Chief Minister Omar Abdullah and former Chief Minister Dr Farooq Abdullah joined the devotees in offering Eid prayers at the Hazratbal shrine on the outskirts of Srinagar city.
Hundreds of Muslims gathered at the shrine’s lawns to offer prayers. Former Chief Minister Mehbooba Mufti also offered Eid prayers at the Hazratbal shrine.
This is the holiest Muslim shrine in J&K as it houses the Holy Relic of the Prophet.
Authorities had made adequate arrangements for security, sanitation, and healthcare at different places for the devotees in Srinagar city and all other cities and towns across J&K.
In Jammu city, the main Eid congregation was held at the Eidgah grounds in the Residency Road area of the city. Hindu and Sikh friends of Muslims were the first to greet them at the end of the Eid prayers in Jammu, Poonch & Rajouri districts.
Large Eid congregations were also held in Budgam, Baramulla, Kupwara, Bandipora, Pulwama, Kulgam, and Shopian districts.
Children wearing new clothes accompanied their fathers to various Eidgahs, and after the prayers, Muslims embraced each other to carry forward the universal message of inclusive brotherhood of Islam.
After the Eid prayers, the ritual of offering animal sacrifices will begin across J&K.
Animal sacrifices are part of Eid al-Adha as these commemorate the greatest sacrifice offered by Prophet Abraham, who, under orders of Allah, decided to sacrifice his son, Ismail. As the blindfolded father tried to move the blade on the son’s throat, a lamb from heaven replaced Ismail under the knife.
When Prophet Abraham unfolded himself, he saw Ismail smiling at a distance when a lamb had substituted him for the sacrifice.
Muslims believe that when Prophet Abraham returned home handholding his son, there was a joyous celebration in the family — Allah had accepted Abraham’s sacrifice and also saved Ismail’s life.
Eid al-Adha is the commemoration of that great event in Islamic history, and each year, the Hajj pilgrimage comes to an end with the pilgrims offering animal sacrifices in Mecca.
The basic spirit behind Eid al-Adha is that the outcome of every event and the destiny of every human being are in the hands of God, with whatever name the faithful choose to remember Him.
It is customary for Muslims to send mutton to their relatives, neighbours, and the poor on this auspicious day so that nobody is left out of the festivities of Eid.
Business
Stock market exhibits resilience, RBI’s rate cut icing on the cake

Mumbai, June 7: After starting the week with consolidation, the domestic market exhibited resilience amid concerns over tariff wars and geopolitical escalations, analysts said on Saturday.
Markets consolidated for the third consecutive week but managed to end higher by nearly a per cent, buoyed by favourable domestic cues.
After remaining range-bound for most of the week, benchmark indices surged sharply on Friday and settled near the week’s high, with the Nifty closing at 25,003 and the Sensex at 82,118.99.
“The highlight of the week was the RBI’s policy announcement, which took the market by surprise. The central bank implemented a sharper-than-expected 50 bps repo rate cut and a 100 bps CRR reduction, signalling a strong pro-growth stance. Notably, the policy stance was also shifted from ‘accommodative’ to ‘neutral’ — a move that came sooner than expected,” said Ajit Mishra, SVP, Research, Religare Broking Ltd.
By front-loading its easing measures, the RBI has underscored its commitment to reviving domestic growth amid global uncertainties. While such a bold approach was expected to unfold gradually, this decisive action reinforces confidence in the central bank’s intent to support economic recovery while managing inflation risks.
This week, sectoral performance was broadly positive, with rate-sensitive sectors witnessing strong buying interest. Realty, auto, and banking stocks led the rally, reflecting improved outlooks for credit growth and consumer sentiment. Financials and NBFCs also gained, as lower interest rates are expected to enhance borrowing conditions.
Conversely, IT stocks underperformed due to persistent global uncertainties, particularly in the U.S. and European markets. In the broader markets, both midcap and smallcap indices outperformed the benchmarks, reflecting a risk-on sentiment among investors, with gains ranging between 2.8 per cent and 4 per cent.
According to Vinod Nair, Head of Research, Geojit Investments Ltd, bolstered by supportive macro indicators such as strong Q4 GDP, GST collection and a favourable monsoon, investors focused on domestically oriented and interest-sensitive sectors such as financials, real estate, retail and FMCG, which saw strength, supported by strong institutional inflows.
Profit booking was visible during the week on account of the ongoing global uncertainty. Mid and small caps generally outperformed large caps, driven by better earnings and valuations.
“While China’s rare earth restrictions pose long-term risks and investors await the inflation print in the US, the aggressive RBI rate cut, backed by cooling inflation and a steady GDP outlook, is likely to support investor confidence amidst the ongoing global uncertainties,” Nair noted.
Going forward, market participants will focus on key macroeconomic data for further cues. High-frequency indicators such as CPI inflation will be closely tracked to gauge demand trends and the central bank’s next steps, said experts.
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