Business
US tariffs to now take effect from August 1 as trade talks intensify
New Delhi/Washington, July 7: US President Donald Trump’s country-specific tariffs are now scheduled to take effect from August 1, offering a temporary reprieve as trade talks intensified with several countries, including India.
Earlier, the US tariffs were set to take effect from July 9.
Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick announced the tariff reprieve on Sunday (US time) while speaking to the media. He noted that President Trump was “setting the rates and the deals right now”.
Trump told reporters that “I think we’ll have most countries wrapped up by July 9, either through letters or finalised agreements”, adding that notification letters warning of upcoming tariff hikes would begin going out from Monday (US time), with more expected to follow on Tuesday.
Trump said that sending notices would be much easier than “sitting down and working 15 different things…this is what you have to pay, if you want to do business with the United States.”
In April, Trump announced a base tariff of 10 per cent on most of America’s trading partners and thereafter additional duties ranging up to 50 per cent.
The US has announced trade deals with the United Kingdom and Vietnam so far, with some more trade deals apparently in the pipeline.
“President Trump’s going to be sending letters to some of our trading partners saying that if you don’t move things along, then on August 1 you will boomerang back to your April 2 tariff level. So I think we’re going to see a lot of deals very quickly,” US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told CNN.
India’s high-level official delegation led by chief negotiator Rajesh Agrawal has returned from Washington after the trade talks with US officials without reaching a final agreement on the sensitive issue of trade in agricultural and dairy products that the US is pushing for.
Meanwhile, Trump has announced that an additional 10 per cent tariff will be imposed on countries that “align themselves with the anti-American policies of BRICS”.
Business
Sensex, Nifty trade lower in early deals; IT shares buck trend

New Delhi, Oct 16: Domestic equity benchmark indices traded lower on Friday, tracking mixed global cues, while information technology (IT) shares supported the market with gains.
In early deals, Sensex was trading 0.29 per cent or 221.89 points lower at 74,093, hitting an intraday low. Similarly, Nifty recorded an intraday low of 22,942, down 0.24 per cent or 55.19 points.
Earlier in the day Sensex opened 0.03 per cent or 25.47 points higher at 74,341.08 against its previous close of 74,315.61. While the 50-scrip basket began the trading session at 23,065.10, up 0.29 per cent or 67.75 points from its previous close of 22,997.35.
In morning trade, Nifty IT, Nifty Media, Nifty PSU Bank and Nifty Metal surged up to 1.59 per cent. In contrast, Nifty Oil & Gas, Nifty MidSmall IT & Telecom and Nifty FMCG declined up to 0.86 per cent.
Meanwhile, realty and auto sectoral indices were also trading lower, while pharma, cement, healthcare and private bank saw marginal declines.
According to market experts, India has significantly outperformed other markets this week with 668-point gains in Nifty 50 in the last three days.
The outperformance is driven by a weakening AI trade, expectations of major changes in LTCG taxation in the coming Budget, and positive fallout from Q2 results that have been better than expected so far.
They further noted that good results from IT majors and positive management commentary have led to a smart 9 per cent revival in the IT index, contributing to the resilience of the Nifty.
“Q2 results of telecom, banking, automobiles and metals like copper, aluminium and zinc are expected to be impressive and provide fundamental support to the market,” they added.
“Another positive development is the sharp decline in the US 10-year bond yield to 5.07 per cent. This, along with strength in the rupee, can restrain FII selling to some extent,” according to the experts.
However, FIIs are likely to continue selling so long as the 10-year yield remains above 5 per cent and Brent trades above $100.
While maintaining a 23,200-23,600 view, analysts expect mean reversion moves while below 23,070, given the sharp rise in the previous session. Dips are expected to find buying interest as long as they do not stretch beyond 22,780.
On global cues, Asian equities traded higher in early hours, mirroring US markets. The S&P 500 closed 0.33 per cent higher after recovering from early losses, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq ended flat, up 0.08 per cent.
Business
Nepal, World Bank explore ‘catastrophe bond’ to protect against disaster risks

Kathmandu, Oct 15: Nepal and the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD), part of the World Bank Group, have signed a mandate agreement to explore the development of a catastrophe bond that could help the Himalayan nation secure rapid access to funds in the event of a major natural disaster.
The agreement marks the beginning of a collaboration to assess the feasibility and potential structure of a catastrophe bond, under which Nepal could transfer part of its disaster risk to international capital markets and strengthen its financial preparedness for natural disasters, the World Bank said in a statement.
Under the agreement, the World Bank Group Treasury will work with the Nepal government and market participants to evaluate the proposed transaction.
The initiative comes as Nepal seeks to strengthen its capacity to prepare for, withstand and recover from natural disasters in the wake of devastating floods in the Bhotekoshi and downstream Trishuli river basins on August 26. The floods have killed nearly 1,500 people, while more than 5,000 remain unaccounted for, according to the National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Authority.
Triggered by an avalanche near the Nepal-China border that blocked the river’s flow, the floods swept away several human settlements, a dozen hydropower projects, a solar plant, and several roads and bridges. Physical damage is estimated at 1.66 billion US dollars, according to the World Bank’s Global Rapid Post-Disaster Damage Estimation report.
According to the World Bank, Nepal is highly vulnerable to earthquakes, floods, landslides and other climate-related hazards, which can cause extensive damage to infrastructure, disrupt economic activities and place considerable pressure on public finances.
A catastrophe bond is a financial instrument that allows governments or other entities to transfer specific disaster risks to investors. Depending on the terms of the bond, investors may lose some or all of their principal if a specified disaster occurs, allowing the funds to be used to support the affected entity.
“Such instruments can provide an alternative source of disaster financing, potentially enabling governments to access funds more quickly than relying solely on budget reallocations or post-disaster assistance,” the World Bank said.
The initiative is part of the World Bank Group’s established catastrophe bond programme, which has helped countries access international capital markets to transfer disaster risks and secure financial protection against natural hazards.
The World Bank helps countries increase their financial resilience to disasters by supporting disaster risk financing programmes and offering contingent financing and insurance solutions.
It also assists countries in designing, developing and implementing comprehensive disaster risk financing strategies.
“A risk financing strategy helps clients determine a balance between retaining risk, for example, through a contingent financing product, and transferring risk, for example, through an insurance product,” the World Bank said.
A range of financial products can be used to address the financial risks of disasters, and the optimal mix of approaches depends on the types of risks faced by a country and the frequency and severity of disaster events, it said.
Developing countries are particularly vulnerable to the economic and fiscal consequences of disasters because of factors such as gaps in insurance coverage, inadequate infrastructure resilience, and the concentration of populations and economic activities in exposed areas.
“Following a major disaster, governments often have to redirect budgetary resources towards emergency response, relief and reconstruction, potentially affecting other development priorities,” the World Bank said.
Business
Rupee to remain in appreciating mode despite global volatility

New Delhi, Oct 15: The Indian rupee is likely to remain in an appreciating territory even as global markets remain engulfed in turbulence, while the government and the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) may need to consider further policy steps to shore up resilience, a report said on Thursday.
The report from SBI Research forecasted inflation to peak at around 6.8 per cent in November 2026. It predicted that India’s 10-year yield will likely touch 7.6 per cent which will aid in price discovery in the future as well.
“The USD/INR forward implied yield opened at 4.60 per cent, around 42 bps higher than yesterday’s close,” the report noted.
Higher hedging costs make dollar funding more expensive and could encourage corporates to shift towards INR-denominated borrowing, supporting demand for the rupee, it added.
“The RBI has done a stupendous job and now the government must step up in reducing structural frictions on the taxation front, European Central Bank policy, ODI and AI policy,” the report noted.
The RBI could adopt a calibrated tightening approach through an asymmetric corridor adjustment, raising the MSF rate by 50 bps from 5.75 per cent to 6.25 per cent in the interim.
This could be followed by a 25 bps repo rate hike in December, taking the repo rate to 5.75 per cent and the MSF rate to 6.50 per cent, it forecasted.
Global financial markets are likely to remain volatile amid persistent geopolitical uncertainties, elevated US yields and evolving inflation dynamics.
The RBI has taken salutary steps to stabilise market conditions and can act up to a point, but further measures by the government on the taxation front, particularly concerning G-secs and ECBs clarity on AI policy, could help deepen domestic borrowing avenues and support capital flows.
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