International News
India leverages water resources as strategic tool to tighten noose around ‘rogue state’ Pakistan
New Delhi, April 24: India’s suspension of the Indus Waters Treaty (IWT) is not only morally justified in light of continuing cross-border terrorism but also legally defensible due to repeated procedural violations by Pakistan, several experts reckoned on Thursday.
The action, they said, is a sovereign right exercised to protect national interest, security, and the integrity of international agreements, which depend on reciprocity and mutual adherence.
“This step signals that while India has always honoured its international commitments, it will not be taken for granted when the other party – a rogue state like Pakistan – repeatedly breaches the spirit and terms of the agreement,” an analyst opined.
Under the Indus Waters Treaty signed between India and Pakistan in 1960, waters of three rivers – Ravi, Sutlej and Beas – averaging around 33 Million Acre Feet (MAF) were allocated to India for exclusive use. The waters of Western rivers – Indus, Jhelum, and Chenab – averaging to around 135 MAF were allocated to Pakistan except for specified domestic, non-consumptive and agricultural use permitted to India as provided in the Treaty.
Last August, India had served a formal notice to Pakistan seeking a review and modification of the IWT citing “fundamental and unforeseen changes in circumstances” that require a reassessment of obligations.
In the notice, India had highlighted that, under Article XII(3) of the IWT, its provision may from time to time be modified by a duly ratified Treaty concluded for that purpose between the two governments.
India’s notification highlighted fundamental and unforeseen changes in circumstances that require a reassessment of obligations under various Articles of the Treaty. Among various concerns, important ones included change in population demographics; environmental issues – need to accelerate development of clean energy to meet India’s emission targets; impact of persistent cross border terrorism, etc.
However, despite India’s repeated warnings, Pakistan was involved in serious violation of treaty protocols.
The eventual suspension of the treaty came only after persistent violations and was triggered further by national security threats, such as Tuesday’s Pahalgam terror attack, which has claimed 26 innocent lives.
The most critical breach occurred in 2016, when Pakistan unilaterally bypassed the treaty’s graded mechanism of dispute resolution outlined under Article IX of the IWT. This article mandates a stepwise escalation — from technical discussions to neutral expert adjudication and finally, if needed, to a Court of Arbitration.
In 2015, Pakistan initially requested a neutral expert to examine technical objections to India’s Kishanganga and Ratle Hydro Electric Projects. However, it withdrew this request next year and unilaterally approached the Court of Arbitration, violating the agreed dispute-resolution protocol. This deliberate deviation undermined the legal sanctity of the treaty and indicated a pattern of weaponizing legal mechanisms for political ends.
Recognising this breach, India issued a formal notice to Pakistan on January 25, 2023, calling for the modification of the treaty to ensure that the dispute resolution process could no longer be exploited unilaterally. By exhausting diplomatic options and adhering to procedural fairness, India demonstrated responsibility and restraint.
Pakistan has also invoked the treaty’s dispute resolution provisions three times, not always in good faith.
The first instance involved objections to a hydropower project on the Chenab River in India-administered Kashmir. While Pakistan raised concerns that the project could give Indian engineers undue control over river flows, the World Bank-appointed neutral expert ruled in favour of India in 2007, validating the project’s design and sediment management as being in line with international best practices.
India has already set the stage to tighten the noose around Pakistan with several projects.
The Kishanganga Hydroelectric Project on a tributary of the Jhelum was commissioned in 2018 and diverts water from the Kishanganga River to a power plant in the Jhelum basin via a 23 km tunnel.
The Ratle Hydroelectric Project on Chenab was revived in 2021 with an 850 MW capacity as Pakistan raised concerns over potential flow manipulation.
The Tulbul Navigation Project on Jhelum was also never really off the table since the Uri attack in 2016 and can regulate water flow through a navigational lock-cum-control structure.
The Shahpurkandi Dam on Ravi was cleared in 2018 and completed in early 2024. It blocks surplus water from flowing into Pakistan, enhancing irrigation and power generation in India.
Similarly, the Ujh Multipurpose Project on a tributary of the Ravi, which was announced in 2020 is currently in the planning stage, combines storage, irrigation, and hydroelectric goals to cut off water flow to Pakistan.
It clearly shows that the IWT may only be temporarily suspended but the pressure is already building on Pakistan.
These developments clearly indicate a concerted effort by India to leverage water resources as a strategic tool in its geopolitical stance towards Pakistan and can have serious implications for the terror sponsors across the border.
Pakistan relies heavily on the Indus River system for irrigation, with about 80 per cent of its cultivated land – approximately 16 million hectares – depending on these waters. The agricultural sector contributes 23 per cent to Pakistan’s national income and supports 68 per cent of its rural inhabitants. Reduced water availability could lead to lower crop yields, food shortages, and economic instability.
The Indus basin also supplies 154.3 million acre-feet of water annually, which is vital for irrigating extensive agricultural areas and ensuring food security. Pakistan’s water storage capacity is low, with major dams like Mangla and Tarbela having a combined live storage of only about 14.4 MAF, which is just 10 per cent of Pakistan’s annual water share under the treaty. The suspension exacerbates these vulnerabilities by cutting off a guaranteed water supply.
The suspension of the IWT will also have significant economic implications for Pakistan, particularly in the agricultural and industrial sectors. It may also affect the country’s power generation capabilities, as hydropower is a crucial source of electricity.
International News
Nepal: Gen-Z uprising days treated differently by political parties

Kathmandu, Sep 9: Nepal witnessed a Gen-Z movement on September 8 and 9 last year, that eventually brought down the government led by then Prime Minister K P Sharma Oli. It also paved the way for an interim government, parliamentary elections on March 5 this year, and the emergence of the Rastriya Swatantra Party (RSP), established in 2022, as the largest political party with nearly a two-thirds majority.
On the first day of the protests, the state was accused of using excessive force, resulting in the deaths of 19 people.
Violent protests followed the next day, leading to widespread destruction of public and private property. Buildings inside Singha Durbar, the country’s main administrative centre, as well as the Supreme Court, the Prime Minister’s Office, the President’s Office, and several other government facilities were attacked.
Shopping centres belonging to the Bhat-Bhateni Group and hotels, including Hilton Kathmandu and Hyatt Regency Kathmandu, were also targeted with arson and vandalism.
As many as 77 people lost their lives in two days in separate protest-related incidents.
For the ruling RSP, which is the biggest political beneficiary of the Gen-Z movement, September 8 is remembered as the day when young protesters, who took to the streets demanding good governance and accountability, became victims of excessive use of state force.
The RSP and the government led by the party have sought to highlight state repression and the deaths of Gen-Z protesters on the first day, while playing down the destruction of public and private property that occurred the following day.
The old political parties and their leaders, meanwhile, have focused on the destruction caused on September 9 while downplaying the Gen-Z movement’s protests against alleged corruption and misgovernance.
As the government and ruling RSP marked the first anniversary of the Gen-Z protests on Tuesday, opposition parties — including the Communist Party of Nepal (Unified Marxist-Leninist), or CPN-UML, led by former Prime Minister Oli, and the Nepali Communist Party led by former Prime Minister Pushpa Kamal Dahal — remained largely silent.
Nepali Congress President Gagan Thapa, however, issued a video message on Tuesday paying tribute to those who lost their lives during the Gen-Z movement.
On Wednesday, Oli and Dahal issued separate statements marking September 9, when the country witnessed massive destruction of public and private property, including the homes of political leaders. The estimated damage caused during the protests stands at more than NPR 84 billion, according to the government.
In his statement, Oli alleged that the arson, vandalism and destruction on September 9 last year were not simply an expression of anger among young people but the result of a planned attempt to reverse the “progressive course” of democracy and the Constitution.
Oli described the attacks targeting the President’s Office, the Prime Minister’s residence, Singha Durbar, the Parliament building, the Supreme Court, political party offices, and public and private property as acts of planned destruction.
“The fact that these events occurred even after the then Prime Minister had resigned makes it clear that the tragedy of September 8 was not an impulsive or angry reaction triggered by the deaths of young people the previous day,” he said. “Rather, it was the manifestation of a deadly plan to reverse the progressive course of nationalism, democracy and the Constitution and push the country toward authoritarianism, anarchy and geopolitical conflict.”
Oli called for a thorough investigation into the September 9 incidents. He said the truth must be brought to light about how a protest that had been permitted as a peaceful demonstration turned violent and who was responsible for it.
Accusing the authorities of attempting to arrest and prosecute the then Prime Minister and Home Minister in a retaliatory manner by holding them responsible for the incidents, Oli said a report on the role of the security agencies in the violence had also been kept secret.
He accused the authorities of granting impunity to those accused of involvement in the September 9 destruction and halting investigations and prosecution processes initiated against them, saying such actions had “institutionalised the criminalisation of politics.”
Oli also questioned why the security agencies had failed to prevent attacks on the state’s key institutions and democracy.
“The question of why the state’s security agencies could not prevent attacks on the main institutions of the Nepali state and on democracy remains unanswered even today,” he said.
Former Prime Minister Dahal, who remained silent on Tuesday while the first day of the Gen-Z movement was commemorated, said in his statement on Wednesday that suspicious elements who had been deliberately mobilised had hijacked last year’s movement.
Dahal, however, acknowledged that the Gen-Z protests were driven by concerns over freedom of expression, good governance, accountability over corruption, and the future of the younger generation, and were also fuelled by social media.
He said that instead of taking young people’s voices seriously and working to address their concerns, the government at the time chose the path of state repression.
“To view the incidents of the two days in the same way would be unjust both to history and to the truth. In reality, the counter-revolutionary destruction turned September 9 into a black day in the history of Nepal’s democratic movement,” Dahal said.
RSP President Rabi Lamichhane, meanwhile, issued a statement on Tuesday honouring those killed during the Gen-Z movement and vowing to uphold its spirit, which was directed against alleged misgovernance by the older political parties and their leaders.
He said last year’s protests represented a spontaneous awakening of Nepal’s young generation against corruption, partisan power-sharing, institutional inefficiency, restrictions on fundamental rights and a lack of opportunities.
“The movement delivered a powerful message: this is a generation that grew up in the digital age, carries global awareness, is self-respecting and seeks its future within its own country — and it will no longer accept misgovernance,” Lamichhane said in a statement issued Monday.
He said the movement was not launched at the call of any particular political party but was a completely spontaneous uprising, warning political parties and leaders against using it for narrow political interests.
Home Minister Sudhan Gurung accused the old political parties of disrespecting the Gen Z movement under various pretexts. Speaking at a mass gathering organised in memory of those who lost their lives during the Gen Z movement, he said the old parties remained silent on Tuesday even as the state honoured those who lost their lives during the movement.
Business
PM Modi appeal to curb gold purchases pits economic restraint against political comfort

New Delhi, Sep 9: Asking Indians to step away from the jewellery counter ahead of the festival season carries political risks. Gold in India is more than a commodity. It is a form of savings, an intergenerational asset and a deeply entrenched cultural tradition. Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s public plea to avoid unnecessary gold purchases puts concern about the import bill up against long-standing buying habits and the interests of the domestic jewellery trade.
The electoral calendar adds a political dimension. Next year, Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Himachal Pradesh and Punjab head to the polls. The domestic gold trade includes merchant communities that have traditionally formed part of the BJP’s support base.
A sustained decline in gold buying could depress jewellery sales and unsettle sections of that constituency ahead of these elections. The appeal suggests a willingness to deliver an uncomfortable economic message, although its political cost will depend on whether consumers respond and how the trade is affected.
The economic concern is the rising bullion import bill amid wars and global uncertainty. Higher international gold prices have increased the cost of meeting Indian demand, even as import volumes have declined. According to data reported by The Economic Times, India’s gold imports rose more than 24 per cent to an all-time high of $71.98 billion in 2025–26. This occurred even as the volume imported fell nearly 4.8 per cent to roughly 721 tonnes.
India bought less physical gold but paid a substantially higher dollar bill. Gold imports add to the demand for foreign exchange. A surge in festive buying can therefore widen the trade deficit and, depending on other external flows, add to pressure on the rupee.
However, framing PM Modi’s appeal purely as a response to global gold prices offers incomplete context. It also draws attention to the government’s limited progress in reducing dependence on imported crude oil. Earlier ambitions to bring down that dependence have proved difficult to realise.
With limited scope to curb essential oil imports without affecting economic activity, discretionary imports become a more accessible target. Gold is an obvious candidate, although restraining purchases would not resolve the underlying dependence on imported energy.
Nor is all gold buying simply consumption that households can readily postpone. For many buyers, it is also a means of saving and providing financial security. That complicates the attempt to influence demand through an appeal for restraint.
Reducing gold imports requires more than a Prime Ministerial plea. It also requires more effective ways to bring existing domestic holdings into circulation and offer alternatives to those buying gold primarily as an investment. Indian households and religious institutions are estimated to hold 20,000 25,000 tonnes of physical gold. This represents substantial wealth, but much of it remains outside formal financial channels. Efforts to mobilise it have met with limited success.
The Gold Monetisation Scheme struggled to attract household gold, partly because families are reluctant to melt down ancestral jewellery in return for interest. Sovereign Gold Bonds offered an alternative for investors seeking exposure to gold prices, but could not substitute for jewellery bought to wear, gift or pass on.
The distinction matters. A gold-linked financial investment and a family heirloom serve different purposes. The difficulty is not simply that policy has failed to turn physical gold into a financial asset. It is that financial products cannot fully replace the cultural and practical uses of jewellery.
Without addressing those differences, efforts to shift demand away from physical gold will have limits.
There are precedents for PM Modi taking decisions that unsettled established interests, including sections of his own support base. But comparisons between the gold appeal and structural reforms need care.
As Chief Minister of Gujarat, he implemented the Jyotigram Yojana, which separated agricultural power feeders from those supplying other rural consumers. The programme faced resistance from sections of the farming community but changed how rural electricity was supplied.
As Prime Minister, his government introduced the Goods and Services Tax, seeking to create a unified national market. The transition brought significant adjustment and compliance costs, particularly for smaller businesses and traders, including communities traditionally associated with the BJP.
The Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code similarly challenged the position of established business promoters. It provided creditors with a framework to resolve defaulting companies, potentially displacing existing owners. Its implementation has also exposed shortcomings requiring further reform.
These measures changed institutions, rules and incentives. An appeal to avoid gold purchases relies instead on voluntary restraint. It may reflect a willingness to challenge established preferences, but it is not equivalent to a change in taxation, credit rules or the organisation of an essential service.
Its economic effect will depend on whether households alter their buying decisions. The intention to ease external pressures is clear; the scale and durability of the response are not.
Demonetisation in 2016, ahead of the following year’s Uttar Pradesh election, provides another example of a disruptive intervention before a major political contest. It does not, however, establish that taking an electoral risk necessarily produces economic gains.
The gold appeal is also materially different. Rather than imposing a sudden policy change, PM Modi is asking consumers to give greater weight to the national economic cost of their purchases. Whether that argument outweighs considerations of tradition, savings and expected returns remains uncertain.
The immediate gamble is that some households will defer buying without a wider backlash from the jewellery trade. Even then, postponed purchases may return later, limiting the lasting effect on imports.
PM Modi’s intervention brings the foreign-exchange cost of gold into the public debate. But the test is not the boldness of the appeal. It is whether the appeal changes demand, and whether policy can provide credible savings alternatives and make better use of gold already held in India. Political gains, should they follow, would be a separate outcome.
(Rakesh Khar is a seasoned editor. He writes at the intersection of politics, business, technology and society. Views expressed are personal)
International News
Iran strikes US base in Jordan in retaliation for attacks on tankers

Tehran, Sep 9: Iran Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) announced early Wednesday that its aerospace forces have attacked a US air base in Jordan in retaliation for US “aggressive” attacks against Iranian oil tankers.
The IRGC said in a statement that it struck a hangar for the maintenance, repair, preparation and deployment of the US Army’s F-35, F-16 and F-15 fighter jets and a shelter for the US fighter aircraft at the Al-Azraq Air Base, “inflicting heavy damage on the enemy.”
Jordan’s military said on Wednesday that its air defence systems have destroyed 18 of 20 Iranian ballistic missiles, reports Xinhua news agency.
Two missiles fell in unpopulated areas, causing no casualties, it said.
Earlier, the US Central Command (CENTCOM) said that the United States military has destroyed five Iranian crude oil tankers after the IRGC twice targeted an American warship with ballistic missiles.
The strikes were carried out Tuesday (Local time) in the Gulf of Oman and near Iran’s Kharg Island, an important hub for the country’s oil exports.
CENTCOM said the American warship successfully evaded both attempted attacks, which occurred over the previous two days. No US personnel were injured.
The military command identified the tankers destroyed in the Gulf of Oman as M/T Kaviz, M/T Charminar, M/T Horizon 1 and M/T Riesco. A fifth tanker, M/T Derya, was attacked near Kharg Island.
US forces instructed the crews to abandon the ships before striking them and rendering the vessels inoperable, according to CENTCOM. The military did not report any casualties among the tanker crews.
CENTCOM described the vessels as crude oil carriers operated by the IRGC and said they formed part of a multibillion-dollar network used to finance the Iranian military organisation and its regional proxies.
The US military did not disclose which American warship Iran allegedly targeted, where the attempted attacks occurred or how many ballistic missiles were fired.
The latest operation marked the second US attack on Iranian oil tankers in four days.
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